Challenges of simulating complex environmental systems at the landscape scale: A controversial dialogue between two cups of espresso

被引:42
作者
Seppelt, Ralf [1 ]
Mueller, Felix [2 ]
Schroeder, Boris [3 ,4 ]
Volk, Martin [1 ]
机构
[1] UFZ Helmholtz Ctr Environm Res, Helmholtz Ctr Environm Res Leipzig Halle, Dept Computat Landscape Ecol, Leipzig, Germany
[2] Univ Kiel, Ctr Ecol, Dept Ecosyst Management, Kiel, Germany
[3] Univ Potsdam, Inst Geoecol, Potsdam, Germany
[4] Leibniz Ctr Agr Landscape Res ZALF eV, Muncheberg, Germany
关键词
Integrated modelling; Model application; Landscape research; Systems ecology; LAND-USE PATTERNS; SPECIES DISTRIBUTION; ECOSYSTEM SERVICES; OPTIMIZATION METHODOLOGY; INTEGRATED ASSESSMENT; POPULATION-DYNAMICS; DISTRIBUTION MODELS; URBAN-DEVELOPMENT; ECOLOGY; BIODIVERSITY;
D O I
10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2009.09.009
中图分类号
Q14 [生态学(生物生态学)];
学科分类号
071012 ; 0713 ;
摘要
With the advancement of computational systems and the development of model integration concepts, complexity of environmental model systems increased. In contrast to that, theory and knowledge about>environmental systems as well as the capability for environmental systems analyses remained, to a large extent, unchanged. As a consequence, model conceptualization, data gathering, and validation, have faced new challenges that hardly can be tackled by modellers alone. In this discourse-like review, we argue that modelling with reliable simulations of human-environmental interactions necessitate linking modelling and simulation research much stronger to science fields such as landscape ecology, community ecology, eco-hydrology, etc. It thus becomes more and more important to identify the adequate degree of complexity in environmental models (which is not only a technical or methodological question), to ensure data availability, and to test model performance. Even equally important, providing problem specific answers to environmental problems using simulation tools requires addressing end-user and stakeholder requirements during early stages of problem development. In doing so, we avoid modelling and simulation as an end of its own. (C) 2009 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:3481 / 3489
页数:9
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