CUSUM test for general nonlinear integer-valued GARCH models: comparison study

被引:37
作者
Lee, Youngmi [1 ]
Lee, Sangyeol [1 ]
机构
[1] Seoul Natl Univ, Dept Stat, Seoul 08826, South Korea
基金
新加坡国家研究基金会;
关键词
Time series of counts; Exponential family; Autoregressive models; Parameter change test; CUSUM test; Comparison of tests; PARAMETER CHANGE TEST; TIME-SERIES; AUTOREGRESSIVE PROCESSES; POISSON; INTERVENTIONS;
D O I
10.1007/s10463-018-0676-7
中图分类号
O21 [概率论与数理统计]; C8 [统计学];
学科分类号
020208 ; 070103 ; 0714 ;
摘要
This study considers the problem of testing a parameter change in general nonlinear integer-valued time series models where the conditional distribution of current observations is assumed to follow a one-parameter exponential family. We consider score-, (standardized) residual-, and estimate-based CUSUM tests and show that their limiting null distributions take the form of the functions of Brownian bridges. Based on the obtained results, we then conduct a comparison study of the performance of CUSUM tests through the use of Monte Carlo simulations. Our findings demonstrate that the standardized residual-based CUSUM test largely outperforms the others.
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页码:1033 / 1057
页数:25
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