DETERMINANTS OF TURNOUT AND CANDIDATE CHOICE IN THE 2008 US PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION ILLUMINATING THE IMPACT OF RACIAL PREJUDICE AND OTHER CONSIDERATIONS

被引：86

作者：

Pasek, Josh ^{[1
]}

Tahk, Alexander ^{[2
]}

Lelkes, Yphtach ^{[1
]}

Krosnick, Jon A. ^{[3
]}

Payne, B. Keith ^{[4
]}

Akhtar, Omair ^{[5
]}

Tompson, Trevor ^{[6
]}

机构：

[1] Stanford Univ, Dept Commun, Stanford, CA 94305 USA

[2] Stanford Univ, Dept Polit Sci, Stanford, CA 94305 USA

[3] Stanford Univ, Dept Commun Polit Sci & Psychol, Stanford, CA 94305 USA

[4] Univ N Carolina, Dept Psychol, Chapel Hill, NC 27599 USA

[5] Stanford Univ, Grad Sch Business, Stanford, CA 94305 USA

[6] Associated Press, Washington, DC 20005 USA

来源：

PUBLIC OPINION QUARTERLY | 2009年 / 73卷 / 05期

基金：

美国国家科学基金会;

关键词：

ATTITUDES; FORECAST; VOTE; PERFORMANCE; MODELS;

D O I：

10.1093/poq/nfp079

中图分类号：

G2 [信息与知识传播];

学科分类号：

05 ; 0503 ;

摘要：

The presence of an African-American candidate on the ballot running for President in 2008 raises the possibility that the election outcome might have been influenced by anti-African-American racism among voters. This paper uses data from the Associated Press-Yahoo! News-Stanford University survey to explore this possibility, using measures of both explicit racism (symbolic racism) and implicit racism (the Affect Misattribution Procedure). The parameters of multinomial logistic regression equations were estimated to test the hypotheses that racism might have behaved differently on election day than they would have had racism been eliminated. The findings suggest that racism's impact on the election outcome could have been substantial, by causing (1) people

引用

页码：943 / 994

页数：52

共 56 条

[1] Forecasting the 2008 presidential election with the time-for-change model [J].