Chaotic business cycles and fiscal policy: An IS-LM model with distributed tax collection lags

被引:73
作者
Fanti, Luciano
Manfredi, Piero
机构
[1] Dipartimento Stat & Matemat Applicata Econ, I-56124 Pisa, Italy
[2] Dipartimento Sci Econ, I-56124 Pisa, Italy
关键词
D O I
10.1016/j.chaos.2005.11.024
中图分类号
O1 [数学];
学科分类号
0701 ; 070101 ;
摘要
A continuous time economic IS-LM model with distributed tax collection lag is proposed. Phase transitions from stability to stable oscillations and finally to chaotic motion are shown to occur. The model thus offers an explanation of the multiperiodicity and irregularity in business cycles. The suggested implications in fiscal control policy could be of help in the current economic and political debate on the role of fiscal policy in the European countries. (c) 2005 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:736 / 744
页数:9
相关论文
共 15 条
[1]  
BERRY BJL, 1997, CHAOS THEORY SOCIAL
[2]  
CHEN P, 1988, SYST DYNAM REV, V4, P1
[3]  
CHOUDHRY NN, 1991, WP9141 IMF
[4]   Quaternary ichnofacies model for paleoenvironmental and paleosealevel interpretations: a study from the Banas River Basin, western India [J].
De, C .
JOURNAL OF ASIAN EARTH SCIENCES, 2005, 25 (02) :233-249
[5]  
Fanti L., 2004, RIV INT SCI ECON COM, V51, P341
[6]  
FANTI L, 2003, PUBLIC FIN, V53, P312
[7]  
FARKAS M, 1995, PERIODIC MOTIONS
[8]  
GOODHART CAE, 1970, BANK ENGLAND Q B, V10, P159
[9]   ON LAGS AND CHAOS IN ECONOMIC DYNAMIC-MODELS [J].
INVERNIZZI, S ;
MEDIO, A .
JOURNAL OF MATHEMATICAL ECONOMICS, 1991, 20 (06) :521-550
[10]  
Kopits G., 2001, WP01145 IMF