Multifractality in time series

被引:67
作者
Canessa, E [1 ]
机构
[1] Abdus Salam Int Ctr Theoret Phys, Int Ctr Theoret Phys, I-34100 Trieste, Italy
来源
JOURNAL OF PHYSICS A-MATHEMATICAL AND GENERAL | 2000年 / 33卷 / 19期
关键词
D O I
10.1088/0305-4470/33/19/302
中图分类号
O4 [物理学];
学科分类号
0702 ;
摘要
We apply the concepts of multifractal physics to financial time series in order to characterize the onset of crash for the Standard & Poor 500 (S&P500) stock index x(t). It is found that within the framework of multifractality, the 'analogous' specific heat of the S&P500 discrete price index displays a shoulder to the right of the main peak for low time-lag values. For decreasing T, the presence of the shoulder is a consequence of the peaked, temporal x(t+T) - x(t) fluctuations in this regime. For large time lags (T > 80), we have found that C-q displays typical features of a classical phase transition at a critical point. An example of such dynamic phase transition in a simple economic model system, based on a mapping with multifractality phenomena in random multiplicative processes, is also presented by applying former results obtained with a continuous probability theory for describing scaling measures.
引用
收藏
页码:3637 / 3651
页数:15
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