Prospect Theory Based Multi-criteria Decision Making Method

被引:2
作者
Hu Jun-hua [1 ]
Zhou Yi-wen [1 ]
机构
[1] Cent S Univ, Sch Business, Changsha 410083, Peoples R China
来源
CCDC 2009: 21ST CHINESE CONTROL AND DECISION CONFERENCE, VOLS 1-6, PROCEEDINGS | 2009年
关键词
Prospect theory; Multi-criteria decision making; Reference point; Outcome; Prospect result; AXIOMS; RISK;
D O I
10.1109/CCDC.2009.5191814
中图分类号
TP [自动化技术、计算机技术];
学科分类号
0812 ;
摘要
With respect to risk decision making problems, a multi-criteria decision making method based on prospect theory is proposed. This method firstly describes multi-criteria decision making problem. Reference points of criteria are given and the outcomes for criteria are calculated. Then, according to value function and decision weight function, the prospect value of criteria for every alternative is calculated, and the prospect value of alternative is acquired by weighted average method. At last, all the alternatives are sorted and the optimal one is chosen according to the prospect values. Feasibility of the method is demonstrated by a simple illustrative example.
引用
收藏
页码:2930 / 2934
页数:5
相关论文
共 13 条
[1]   Parameter-free elicitation of utility and probability weighting functions [J].
Abdellaoui, M .
MANAGEMENT SCIENCE, 2000, 46 (11) :1497-1512
[2]  
ALBERT SK, 2006, J ECON THEORY, V129, P273
[4]  
Avineri E., 2004, Journal of Intelligent Transportation Systems, V8, P195, DOI DOI 10.1080/15472450490523856
[5]  
David K., 2004, J MULTINATIONAL FINA, V14, P425
[6]  
DAVIES GB, 2005, THESIS U CAMBRIDGE
[7]   RISK, AMBIGUITY, AND THE SAVAGE AXIOMS [J].
ELLSBERG, D .
QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS, 1961, 75 (04) :643-669
[8]   Application of cumulative prospect theory: Implied seismic design preference [J].
Goda, K. ;
Hong, H. P. .
STRUCTURAL SAFETY, 2008, 30 (06) :506-516
[9]  
KAHNEMAN D, 1979, J EC SOC, V47, P263, DOI DOI 10.2307/1914185
[10]  
Prelec D., 2000, CHOICES VALUES FRAME