Regional features of precipitation over Asia and summer extreme precipitation over Southeast Asia and their associations with atmospheric-oceanic conditions

被引:51
作者
Yao, Cai [1 ]
Qian, Weihong [1 ]
Yang, Song [2 ]
Lin, Zhengmin [3 ]
机构
[1] Peking Univ, Sch Phys, Monsoon & Environm Res Grp, Beijing 100871, Peoples R China
[2] NOAAs Climate Predict Ctr, Camp Springs, MD USA
[3] Guangxi Meteorol Bur, Inst Meteorol Disaster Reduct, Nanning, Guangxi, Peoples R China
关键词
RAINFALL VARIABILITY; MONSOON; CLIMATE; CHINA; SNOW; PREDICTION; SURFACE; TRENDS; ENSO;
D O I
10.1007/s00703-009-0052-5
中图分类号
P4 [大气科学(气象学)];
学科分类号
0706 ; 070601 ;
摘要
The variations of both total and extreme precipitations over Asia are characterized by large regional features and seasonality. Extreme precipitation mainly occurs in summer and then in autumn over South Asia but it is a prominent phenomenon in all seasons over Southeast Asia. It explains above 40% of the total precipitation in winter over India, while the ratio of extreme precipitation to total precipitation is 30% or smaller in all seasons over southern-central China. Over Southeast Asia, the largest ratio appears in winter. The extreme precipitation over Southeast Asia (EPSEA) exhibits significant positive trends in all seasons except autumn. The long-term increase in summer EPSEA is associated with significant surface warming over extratropical Asia and the Indo-Pacific oceans and linked to a large-scale anomalous cyclonic pattern over Southeast Asia. An increase in de-trended summer EPSEA is associated with less significant surface warming. However, it is still clearly linked to an anomalous cyclonic pattern over Southeast Asia, contributed by intensifications of monsoon flow from the west, trade wind from the east, and cross-equatorial flow over Indonesia. The antecedent features of increased summer EPSEA include an overall warming over the tropical-subtropical northern hemisphere and an anomalous cyclonic pattern over Southeast Asia in winter and spring. When the large-scale Asian monsoon (measured by the Webster-Yang monsoon index) or the South Asian monsoon is strong, summer extreme precipitation mainly increases over tropical Asia. When monsoon is strong over Southeast Asia or East Asia, extreme precipitation increases over Southeast Asia and decreases over East Asia. A strong summer monsoon over Southeast Asia or East Asia is also followed by decreased autumn extreme precipitation over Southeast Asia.
引用
收藏
页码:57 / 73
页数:17
相关论文
共 60 条
[1]  
BAO CL, 1987, SYNOPTIC METEOROLOGY, P82
[2]  
BARNETT TP, 1989, J ATMOS SCI, V46, P661, DOI 10.1175/1520-0469(1989)046<0661:TEOESC>2.0.CO
[3]  
2
[4]  
Ding Y., 1994, Monsoons Over China, P419, DOI [10.1007/978-94-015-8302-2, DOI 10.1007/978-94-015-8302-2]
[5]  
Ding YH, 2008, ACTA METEOROL SIN, V22, P404
[6]   A global monthly land surface air temperature analysis for 1948-present [J].
Fan, Yun ;
van den Dool, Huug .
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES, 2008, 113 (D1)
[7]   Arctic oscillation signals in the East Asian summer monsoon [J].
Gong, DY ;
Ho, CH .
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES, 2003, 108 (D2)
[8]   Increasing trend of extreme rain events over India in a warming environment [J].
Goswami, B. N. ;
Venugopal, V. ;
Sengupta, D. ;
Madhusoodanan, M. S. ;
Xavier, Prince K. .
SCIENCE, 2006, 314 (5804) :1442-1445
[9]  
Goswami BN, 1999, Q J ROY METEOR SOC, V125, P611, DOI 10.1002/qj.49712555412
[10]  
HOUGHTON J, 2001, IPCC SCI ASSESSMENT, P194