How well do CMIP5 models simulate the low-level jet in western Colombia?

被引:24
作者
Sierra, Juan P. [1 ]
Arias, Paola A. [1 ]
Vieira, Sara C. [1 ]
Agudelo, Jhoana [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ Antioquia, Fac Ingn, Escuela Ambiental, GIGA, Calle 67 53-108, Medellin, Colombia
关键词
Choco low-level jet; Global climate models; Model evaluation; Northern South America; EARTH SYSTEM MODEL; SEA-SURFACE TEMPERATURE; CLIMATE MODEL; PART I; MULTIMODEL ENSEMBLE; EQUATORIAL PACIFIC; COUPLED MODEL; PRECIPITATION; CIRCULATION; PERFORMANCE;
D O I
10.1007/s00382-017-4010-5
中图分类号
P4 [大气科学(气象学)];
学科分类号
0706 ; 070601 ;
摘要
The Choco jet is an important atmospheric feature of Colombian and northern South America hydro-climatology. This work assesses the ability of 26 coupled and 11 uncoupled (AMIP) global climate models (GCMs) included in the fifth phase of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5) archive to simulate the climatological basic features (annual cycle, spatial distribution and vertical structure) of this jet. Using factor and cluster analysis, we objectively classify models in Best, Worst, and Intermediate groups. Despite the coarse resolution of the GCMs, this study demonstrates that nearly all models can represent the existence of the Choco low-level jet. AMIP and Best models present a more realistic simulation of jet. Worst models exhibit biases such as an anomalous southward location of the Choco jet during the whole year and a shallower jet. The model skill to represent this jet comes from their ability to reproduce some of its main causes, such as the temperature and pressure differences between particular regions in the eastern Pacific and western Colombian lands, which are non-local features. Conversely, Worst models considerably underestimate temperature and pressure differences between these key regions. We identify a close relationship between the location of the Choco jet and the Inter-tropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ), and CMIP5 models are able to represent such relationship. Errors in Worst models are related with bias in the location of the ITCZ over the eastern tropical Pacific Ocean, as well as the representation of the topography and the horizontal resolution.
引用
收藏
页码:2247 / 2265
页数:19
相关论文
共 78 条
[11]   Testing the Significance of a Correlation With Nonnormal Data: Comparison of Pearson, Spearman, Transformation, and Resampling Approaches [J].
Bishara, Anthony J. ;
Hittner, James B. .
PSYCHOLOGICAL METHODS, 2012, 17 (03) :399-417
[12]   Response of the ITCZ to Northern Hemisphere cooling [J].
Broccoli, AJ ;
Dahl, KA ;
Stouffer, RJ .
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2006, 33 (01)
[13]   Selecting GCM Scenarios that Span the Range of Changes in a Multimodel Ensemble: Application to CMIP5 Climate Extremes Indices [J].
Cannon, Alex J. .
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2015, 28 (03) :1260-1267
[14]   Heat balance and eddies in the Peru-Chile current system [J].
Colas, Francois ;
McWilliams, James C. ;
Capet, Xavier ;
Kurian, Jaison .
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2012, 39 (1-2) :509-529
[15]   The ERA-Interim reanalysis: configuration and performance of the data assimilation system [J].
Dee, D. P. ;
Uppala, S. M. ;
Simmons, A. J. ;
Berrisford, P. ;
Poli, P. ;
Kobayashi, S. ;
Andrae, U. ;
Balmaseda, M. A. ;
Balsamo, G. ;
Bauer, P. ;
Bechtold, P. ;
Beljaars, A. C. M. ;
van de Berg, L. ;
Bidlot, J. ;
Bormann, N. ;
Delsol, C. ;
Dragani, R. ;
Fuentes, M. ;
Geer, A. J. ;
Haimberger, L. ;
Healy, S. B. ;
Hersbach, H. ;
Holm, E. V. ;
Isaksen, L. ;
Kallberg, P. ;
Koehler, M. ;
Matricardi, M. ;
McNally, A. P. ;
Monge-Sanz, B. M. ;
Morcrette, J. -J. ;
Park, B. -K. ;
Peubey, C. ;
de Rosnay, P. ;
Tavolato, C. ;
Thepaut, J. -N. ;
Vitart, F. .
QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY, 2011, 137 (656) :553-597
[16]   The Dynamical Core, Physical Parameterizations, and Basic Simulation Characteristics of the Atmospheric Component AM3 of the GFDL Global Coupled Model CM3 [J].
Donner, Leo J. ;
Wyman, Bruce L. ;
Hemler, Richard S. ;
Horowitz, Larry W. ;
Ming, Yi ;
Zhao, Ming ;
Golaz, Jean-Christophe ;
Ginoux, Paul ;
Lin, S. -J. ;
Schwarzkopf, M. Daniel ;
Austin, John ;
Alaka, Ghassan ;
Cooke, William F. ;
Delworth, Thomas L. ;
Freidenreich, Stuart M. ;
Gordon, C. T. ;
Griffies, Stephen M. ;
Held, Isaac M. ;
Hurlin, William J. ;
Klein, Stephen A. ;
Knutson, Thomas R. ;
Langenhorst, Amy R. ;
Lee, Hyun-Chul ;
Lin, Yanluan ;
Magi, Brian I. ;
Malyshev, Sergey L. ;
Milly, P. C. D. ;
Naik, Vaishali ;
Nath, Mary J. ;
Pincus, Robert ;
Ploshay, Jeffrey J. ;
Ramaswamy, V. ;
Seman, Charles J. ;
Shevliakova, Elena ;
Sirutis, Joseph J. ;
Stern, William F. ;
Stouffer, Ronald J. ;
Wilson, R. John ;
Winton, Michael ;
Wittenberg, Andrew T. ;
Zeng, Fanrong .
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2011, 24 (13) :3484-3519
[17]   The Relationship between ITCZ Location and Cross-Equatorial Atmospheric Heat Transport: From the Seasonal Cycle to the Last Glacial Maximum [J].
Donohoe, Aaron ;
Marshall, John ;
Ferreira, David ;
Mcgee, David .
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2013, 26 (11) :3597-3618
[18]   Climate change projections using the IPSL-CM5 Earth System Model: from CMIP3 to CMIP5 [J].
Dufresne, J-L. ;
Foujols, M-A. ;
Denvil, S. ;
Caubel, A. ;
Marti, O. ;
Aumont, O. ;
Balkanski, Y. ;
Bekki, S. ;
Bellenger, H. ;
Benshila, R. ;
Bony, S. ;
Bopp, L. ;
Braconnot, P. ;
Brockmann, P. ;
Cadule, P. ;
Cheruy, F. ;
Codron, F. ;
Cozic, A. ;
Cugnet, D. ;
de Noblet, N. ;
Duvel, J-P. ;
Ethe, C. ;
Fairhead, L. ;
Fichefet, T. ;
Flavoni, S. ;
Friedlingstein, P. ;
Grandpeix, J-Y. ;
Guez, L. ;
Guilyardi, E. ;
Hauglustaine, D. ;
Hourdin, F. ;
Idelkadi, A. ;
Ghattas, J. ;
Joussaume, S. ;
Kageyama, M. ;
Krinner, G. ;
Labetoulle, S. ;
Lahellec, A. ;
Lefebvre, M-P. ;
Lefevre, F. ;
Levy, C. ;
Li, Z. X. ;
Lloyd, J. ;
Lott, F. ;
Madec, G. ;
Mancip, M. ;
Marchand, M. ;
Masson, S. ;
Meurdesoif, Y. ;
Mignot, J. .
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2013, 40 (9-10) :2123-2165
[19]  
Ebisuzaki W, 1997, J CLIMATE, V10, P2147, DOI 10.1175/1520-0442(1997)010<2147:AMTETS>2.0.CO
[20]  
2