An edge-based SIR model for sexually transmitted diseases on the contact network

被引:15
作者
Yan, Shuixian [1 ,3 ]
Zhang, Yu [1 ]
Ma, Junling [2 ]
Yuan, Sanling [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ Shanghai Sci & Technol, Coll Sci, Shanghai 200093, Peoples R China
[2] Univ Victoria, Dept Math & Stat, Victoria, BC, Canada
[3] Gannan Normal Univ, Coll Math & Comp Sci, Ganzhou 341000, Jiangxi, Peoples R China
基金
中国国家自然科学基金; 加拿大自然科学与工程研究理事会;
关键词
Sexually transmitted diseases; SIR epidemic model; Bipartite random network; Initial value; Reproduction number; Epidemic final size; SPREAD; DYNAMICS;
D O I
10.1016/j.jtbi.2017.12.003
中图分类号
Q [生物科学];
学科分类号
07 ; 0710 ; 09 ;
摘要
Sexually transmitted diseases, which are infections through sexual contact, pose severe public health threat nowadays. In this paper, we develop a novel model for such diseases on a bipartite random contact network. Our model is precise with arbitrary initial conditions, which makes it suitable to study preventative vaccination strategies. We derive the reproduction number and show that R-0 = 1 is the disease threshold. An implicit formula for the final epidemic size is also derived, and we show that the formula gives a unique positive final epidemic size when the reproduction number is larger than unity. We find that the final size in either sex is heavily influenced by the degree distribution of the opposite sex. (c) 2017 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:216 / 225
页数:10
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