Subtropical Cyclone Anita's Potential to Tropical Transition Under Warmer Sea Surface Temperature Scenarios

被引：6

作者：

Reboita, M. S. ^{[1
]}

Oliveira, D. M. ^{[1
]}

da Rocha, R. P. ^{[2
]}

Dutra, L. M. M. ^{[2
]}

机构：

[1] Univ Fed Itajuba, Inst Recursos Nat, Itajuba, Brazil

[2] Univ Sao Paulo, Dept Ciencias Atmosfer, Sao Paulo, Brazil

来源：

GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS | 2019年 / 46卷 / 14期

关键词：

subtropical cyclone; tropical transition; numerical experiments; Brazilian coast; SST; WRF; HURRICANE; PARAMETERIZATION; SENSITIVITY; FLUXES;

D O I：

10.1029/2019GL083415

中图分类号：

P [天文学、地球科学];

学科分类号：

07 ;

摘要：

On 6 March 2010, Anita, the first subtropical cyclone observed over the South Atlantic Ocean, formed near the southeastern coast of Brazil, and during its life cycle, Anita almost acquired a tropical structure. The potential of Anita to undergo tropical transition in scenarios of increased sea surface temperature (SST) was investigated through a set of numerical sensitivity experiments. The results show that, if the SST had been 2 degrees C warmer throughout Anita's life cycle, the system would have undergone tropical transition in its maturity stage; however, if the SST had increased only during Anita's quasi-stationary period, the tropical transition completion would have occurred only with higher values of SST (6 degrees C).

引用

页码：8484 / 8489

页数：6

共 36 条

[1]

BETTS AK, 1986, Q J ROY METEOR SOC, V112, P693, DOI 10.1256/smsqj.47307

[2] Thermal structure and dynamical precursor of a Mediterranean tropical-like cyclone [J].

Cioni, G. ;

Malguzzi, P. ;

Buzzi, A. .

QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY, 2016, 142 (697) :1757-1766

[3] Subtropical cyclones over the oceanic basins: a review [J].

da Rocha, Rosmeri Porfirio ;

Reboita, Michelle Simoes ;

Gozzo, Luiz Felippe ;

Mosso Dutra, Livia Marcia ;

de Jesus, Eduardo Marcos .

ANNALS OF THE NEW YORK ACADEMY OF SCIENCES, 2019, 1436 (01) :138-156

[4]

DesAbreu R.C., 2015, CIENCIA NAT, V37, P69

[5] Synoptic and dynamical analysis of subtropical cyclone Anita (2010) and its potential for tropical transition over the South Atlantic Ocean [J].

Dias Pinto, Joao Rafael ;

Reboita, Michelle Simoes ;

da Rocha, Rosmeri Porfirio .

JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES, 2013, 118 (19) :10870-10883

[6]

EMANUEL KA, 1986, J ATMOS SCI, V43, P585, DOI 10.1175/1520-0469(1986)043<0585:AASITF>2.0.CO

[7]

[8]

Emanuel Kerry., 2005, Advances in Geosciences, V2, P217, DOI [10.5194/adgeo-2-217-2005, DOI 10.5194/ADGEO-2-217-2005]

[9] Analysis of the environments of seven Mediterranean tropical-like storms using an axisymmetric, nonhydrostatic, cloud resolving model [J].

Fita, L. ;

Romero, R. ;

Luque, A. ;

Emanuel, K. ;

Ramis, C. .

NATURAL HAZARDS AND EARTH SYSTEM SCIENCES, 2007, 7 (01) :41-56

[10] Climatology and numerical case study of moisture sources associated with subtropical cyclogenesis over the southwestern Atlantic Ocean [J].

Gozzo, L. F. ;

da Rocha, R. P. ;

Gimeno, L. ;

Drumond, A. .

JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES, 2017, 122 (11) :5636-5653

← 1 2 3 4 →