TRAFFIC TIME SERIES FORECASTING BY FEEDFORWARD NEURAL NETWORK: A CASE STUDY BASED ON TRAFFIC DATA OF MONROE

被引:11
作者
Raeesi, M. [1 ]
Mesgari, M. S.
Mahmoudi, P.
机构
[1] KN Toosi Univ Technology, Fac Geodesy & Geomat Engn, GIS Div, Tehran, Iran
来源
1ST ISPRS INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON GEOSPATIAL INFORMATION RESEARCH | 2014年 / 40卷 / 2/W3期
关键词
Traffic; Neural networks; Time series forecasting; Intelligence Transportation System; PREDICTION; MODELS;
D O I
10.5194/isprsarchives-XL-2-W3-219-2014
中图分类号
P9 [自然地理学];
学科分类号
0705 ; 070501 ;
摘要
Short time prediction is one of the most important factors in intelligence transportation system (ITS). In this research, the use of feed forward neural network for traffic time-series prediction is presented. In this paper, the traffic in one direction of the road segment is predicted. The input of the neural network is the time delay data exported from the road traffic data of Monroe city. The time delay data is used for training the network. For generating the time delay data, the traffic data related to the first 300 days of 2008 is used. The performance of the feed forward neural network model is validated using the real observation data of the 301st day.
引用
收藏
页码:219 / 223
页数:5
相关论文
共 12 条
  • [1] Adya M, 1998, J FORECASTING, V17, P481, DOI 10.1002/(SICI)1099-131X(1998090)17:5/6<481::AID-FOR709>3.3.CO
  • [2] 2-H
  • [3] A comparison between neural-network forecasting techniques - Case study: River flow forecasting
    Atiya, AF
    El-Shoura, SM
    Shaheen, SI
    El-Sherif, MS
    [J]. IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON NEURAL NETWORKS, 1999, 10 (02): : 402 - 409
  • [4] Automatic neural network modeling for univariate time series
    Balkin, SD
    Ord, JK
    [J]. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF FORECASTING, 2000, 16 (04) : 509 - 515
  • [5] An empirical investigation of bias and variance in time series forecasting: Modeling considerations and error evaluation
    Berardi, VL
    Zhang, GP
    [J]. IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON NEURAL NETWORKS, 2003, 14 (03): : 668 - 679
  • [6] de Groot C., 1991, Neurocomputing, V3, P177, DOI 10.1016/0925-2312(91)90040-I
  • [7] Gershenfeld N., 1994, Time Series Prediction: Forecasting the Future and Understanding the Past
  • [8] NONLINEAR MODELING AND PREDICTION BY SUCCESSIVE APPROXIMATION USING RADIAL BASIS FUNCTIONS
    HE, XD
    LAPEDES, A
    [J]. PHYSICA D, 1994, 70 (03): : 289 - 301
  • [9] Bayesian neural networks for nonlinear time series forecasting
    Liang, FM
    [J]. STATISTICS AND COMPUTING, 2005, 15 (01) : 13 - 29
  • [10] MEASURE OF LACK OF FIT IN TIME-SERIES MODELS
    LJUNG, GM
    BOX, GEP
    [J]. BIOMETRIKA, 1978, 65 (02) : 297 - 303