Verification of a similar cycle prediction for the ascending and peak phases of Solar Cycle 23

被引：15

作者：

Wang, JL ^{[1
]}

Gong, JC

Liu, SQ

Le, GM

Han, YB

Sun, JL

机构：

[1] Chinese Acad Sci, Natl Astron Observ, Beijing 100012, Peoples R China

[2] Chinese Acad Sci, Ctr Space Sci & Appl Res, Beijing 100080, Peoples R China

来源：

CHINESE JOURNAL OF ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS | 2002年 / 2卷 / 05期

关键词：

Sun : sunspots; solar-terrestrial relations;

D O I：

10.1088/1009-9271/2/5/396

中图分类号：

P1 [天文学];

学科分类号：

0704 ;

摘要：

Reviews of long-term predictions of solar cycles have shown that a precise prediction with a lead time of 2 years or more of a solar cycle remains an unsolved problem. We used a simple method, the method of similar cycles, to make long-term predictions of not only the maximum amplitude but also the smoothed monthly mean sunspot number for every month of Solar Cycle 23. We verify and compare our prediction with the latest available observational results.

引用

页码：396 / 398

页数：3

共 23 条

[21] SYSTEMATIC INVESTIGATION OF SOLAR MODULATION OF GALACTIC PROTONS FOR SOLAR CYCLE 23 USING A MONTE CARLO APPROACH WITH PARTICLE DRIFT EFFECTS AND LATITUDINAL DEPENDENCE
Bobik, P.
Boella, G.
Boschini, M. J.
Consolandi, C.
Della Torre, S.
Gervasi, M.
Grandi, D.
Kudela, K.
Pensotti, S.
Rancoita, P. G.
Tacconi, M.
ASTROPHYSICAL JOURNAL, 2012, 745 (02)
[22] A study of the development of global solar activity in the 23rd solar cycle based on radio observations with the Nobeyama radio heliograph - I. Latitude distribution of the active and dark regions
Gelfreikh, GB
Makarov, VI
Tlatov, AG
Riehokainen, A
Shibasaki, K
ASTRONOMY & ASTROPHYSICS, 2002, 389 (02) : 618 - 623
[23] Relationship between the minima of the horizontal magnetic component measured in Mexico and the Dst and SYM-H indices for geomagnetic storms with Dst≤-100nT during the descending phase of solar cycle 23
Lenica Martinez-Breton, Julia
Mendoza Ortega, Blanca
Hernandez-Quintero, Esteban
GEOFISICA INTERNACIONAL, 2016, 55 (02): : 155 - 164

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