Verification of a similar cycle prediction for the ascending and peak phases of Solar Cycle 23

被引:15
|
作者
Wang, JL [1 ]
Gong, JC
Liu, SQ
Le, GM
Han, YB
Sun, JL
机构
[1] Chinese Acad Sci, Natl Astron Observ, Beijing 100012, Peoples R China
[2] Chinese Acad Sci, Ctr Space Sci & Appl Res, Beijing 100080, Peoples R China
来源
CHINESE JOURNAL OF ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS | 2002年 / 2卷 / 05期
关键词
Sun : sunspots; solar-terrestrial relations;
D O I
10.1088/1009-9271/2/5/396
中图分类号
P1 [天文学];
学科分类号
0704 ;
摘要
Reviews of long-term predictions of solar cycles have shown that a precise prediction with a lead time of 2 years or more of a solar cycle remains an unsolved problem. We used a simple method, the method of similar cycles, to make long-term predictions of not only the maximum amplitude but also the smoothed monthly mean sunspot number for every month of Solar Cycle 23. We verify and compare our prediction with the latest available observational results.
引用
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页码:396 / 398
页数:3
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