Exploring the role of energy, trade and financial development in explaining economic growth in South Africa: A revisit

被引:40
作者
Kumar, Ronald Ravinesh [1 ,5 ]
Stauvermann, Peter Josef [2 ]
Loganathan, Nanthakumar [3 ]
Kumar, Radika Devi [4 ]
机构
[1] Univ S Pacific, Sch Accounting & Finance, Suva, Fiji
[2] Changwon Natl Univ, Dept Global Business & Econ, Chang Won 641773, South Korea
[3] Univ Sultan Zainal Abidin, Fac Econ & Management Sci, Kuala Terengganu 21300, Terengganu, Malaysia
[4] Minist Resources & Dev, Div Trade & Investment, Hub & Spokes Program, Commonwealth Secretariat, Delap Dist 96960, Majuro Mh, Marshall Island
[5] Queensland Univ Technol, QUT Business Sch, Brisbane, Qld 4001, Australia
关键词
Energy; Trade openness; Financial development; Economic growth; Cointegration; Causality; South Africa; ELECTRICITY CONSUMPTION; ERROR-CORRECTION; TIME-SERIES; UNIT-ROOT; CAUSALITY RELATIONSHIP; COMPARATIVE ADVANTAGE; ENDOGENOUS GROWTH; REAL INCOME; COINTEGRATION; GDP;
D O I
10.1016/j.rser.2015.07.188
中图分类号
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号
08 ; 0830 ;
摘要
South Africa is an emerging and industrializing economy which is experiencing remarkable progress. We contend that amidst the developments in the economy, the role of energy, trade openness and financial development are critical. In this article, we revisit the pivotal role of these factors. We use the ARDL bounds [72], the Bayer and Hanck [11] cointegration techniques, and an extended Cobb-Douglas framework, to examine the long-run association with output per worker over the sample period 1971-2011. The results support long-run association between output per worker, capital per worker and the shift parameters. The short-run elasticity coefficients are as follows: energy (0.24), trade (0.07), financial development (-0.03). In the long-run, the elasticity coefficients are: trade openness (0.05), energy (0.29), and financial development (-0.04). In both the short-run and the long-run, we note the post-2000 period has a marginal positive effect on the economy. The Toda and Yamamoto [91] Granger causality results show that a unidirectional causality from capital stock and energy consumption to output; and from capital stock to trade openness; a bidirectional causality between trade openness and output; and absence (neutrality) of any causality between financial development and output thus indicating that these two variables evolve independent of each other. (C) 2015 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:1300 / 1311
页数:12
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