On Prediction of User Destination by Sub-Trajectory Understanding: A Deep Learning based Approach

Destination prediction is known as an important problem for many location based services (LBSs). Existing solutions generally apply probabilistic models to predict destinations over a sub-trajectory, but their accuracies in fine-granularity prediction are always not satisfactory due to the data sparsity problem. This paper presents a carefully designed deep learning model called TALL model for destination prediction. It not only takes advantage of the bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) network for sequence modeling, but also gives more attention to meaningful locations that have strong correlations w.r.t. destination by adopting attention mechanism. Furthermore, a hierarchical model that explores the fusion of multi-granularity learning capability is further proposed to improve the accuracy of prediction. Extensive experiments on Beijing and Chengdu real datasets finally demonstrate that our proposed models outperform existing methods without considering external features.