Evaluation of the Potential Risk of Mortality from SARS-CoV-2 Infection in Hospitalized Patients According to the Charlson Comorbidity Index

被引:9
作者
Gutierrez-Camacho, Jose Roberto [1 ]
Avila-Carrasco, Lorena [1 ]
Murillo-Ruiz-Esparza, Alberto [2 ]
Garza-Veloz, Idalia [1 ]
Araujo-Espino, Roxana [3 ]
Martinez-Vazquez, Maria Calixta [1 ]
Trejo-Ortiz, Perla M. [3 ]
Rodriguez-Sanchez, Iram Pablo [4 ]
Delgado-Enciso, Ivan [5 ]
Castaneda-Lopez, Maria E. [1 ]
Gamon-Madrid, Araceli [1 ]
Martinez-Fierro, Margarita L. [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ Autonoma Zacatecas, Unidad Acad Med Humana & Ciencias Salud, Mol Med Lab, Zacatecas 98160, Zacatecas, Mexico
[2] Hosp Gen Zona 2, Inst Mexicano Seguro Social IMSS, Fresnillo 99000, Mexico
[3] Univ Autonoma Zacatecas, Unidad Acad Enfermeria, Zacatecas 98160, Zacatecas, Mexico
[4] Univ Autonoma Nuevo Leon, Fac Ciencias Biolog, Lab Fisiol Mol & Estruct, Monterrey 66450, Mexico
[5] Univ Colima, Fac Med, Colima 28040, Mexico
关键词
COVID-19; SARS-CoV-2; obesity; charlson index; comorbidity; CORONAVIRUS DISEASE 2019; CLINICAL CHARACTERISTICS; COVID-19; PATIENTS; SCORE; OUTCOMES; INTERLEUKIN-6; HYPERTENSION; VALIDATION; EXPRESSION; PREDICTOR;
D O I
10.3390/healthcare10020362
中图分类号
R19 [保健组织与事业(卫生事业管理)];
学科分类号
摘要
Background: The pandemic of COVID-19 has represented a major threat to global public health in the last century and therefore to identify predictors of mortality among COVID-19 hospitalized patients is widely justified. The aim of this study was to evaluate the possible usefulness of Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI) as mortality predictor in patients hospitalized because COVID-19. Methods: This study was carried out in Zacatecas, Mexico, and it included 705 hospitalized patients with suspected of SARS-CoV-2 infection. Clinical data were collected, and the CCI score was calculated online using the calculator from the Sociedad Andaluza de Medicina Intensiva y Unidades Coronarias; the result was evaluated as mortality predictor among the patients with COVID-19. Results: 377 patients were positive for SARS-COV-2. Obesity increased the risk of intubation among the study population (odds ratio (OR) = 2.59; 95 CI: 1.36-4.92; p = 0.003). The CCI values were higher in patients who died because of COVID-19 complications than those observed in patients who survived (p < 0.001). Considering a CCI cutoff > 31.69, the area under the ROC curve was 0.75, with a sensitivity and a specificity of 63.6% and 87.7%, respectively. Having a CCI value > 31.69 increased the odds of death by 12.5 times among the study population (95% CI: 7.3-21.4; p < 0.001). Conclusions: The CCI is a suitable tool for the prediction of mortality in patients hospitalized for COVID-19. The presence of comorbidities in hospitalized patients with COVID-19 reflected as CCI > 31.69 increased the risk of death among the study population, so it is important to take precautionary measures in patients due to their condition and their increased vulnerability to SARS-CoV-2 infection.
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页数:13
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