On the essentials of drought in a changing climate

被引:414
作者
Ault, Toby R. [1 ]
机构
[1] Cornell Univ, Dept Earth & Atmospher Sci, Ithaca, NY 14850 USA
基金
美国国家科学基金会;
关键词
NORTH-ATLANTIC OSCILLATION; HYDROLOGICAL CYCLE; MOISTURE; PRECIPITATION; VARIABILITY; INDEX; EVAPOTRANSPIRATION; TEMPERATURES; MECHANISMS; CONSISTENT;
D O I
10.1126/science.aaz5492
中图分类号
O [数理科学和化学]; P [天文学、地球科学]; Q [生物科学]; N [自然科学总论];
学科分类号
07 ; 0710 ; 09 ;
摘要
Droughts of the future are likely to be more frequent, severe, and longer lasting than they have been in recent decades, but drought risks will be lower if greenhouse gas emissions are cut aggressively. This review presents a synopsis of the tools required for understanding the statistics, physics, and dynamics of drought and its causes in a historical context. Although these tools have been applied most extensively in the United States, Europe, and the Amazon region, they have not been as widely used in other drought-prone regions throughout the rest of the world, presenting opportunities for future research. Water resource managers, early career scientists, and veteran drought researchers will likely see opportunities to improve our understanding of drought.
引用
收藏
页码:256 / 260
页数:5
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