Estimated Prevalence of Opioid Use Disorder in Massachusetts, 2011-2015: A Capture-Recapture Analysis

被引:123
作者
Barocas, Joshua A. [1 ,2 ]
White, Laura F. [3 ]
Wang, Jianing [1 ,2 ]
Walley, Alexander Y. [2 ,4 ]
LaRochelle, Marc R. [2 ,4 ]
Bernson, Dana [5 ]
Land, Thomas [6 ]
Morgan, Jake R. [1 ,2 ]
Samet, Jeffrey H. [2 ,4 ]
Linas, Benjamin P. [1 ,2 ]
机构
[1] Boston Univ, Sch Med, Dept Med, Div Infect Dis, Boston, MA 02215 USA
[2] Boston Med Ctr, Boston, MA USA
[3] Boston Univ, Sch Publ Hlth, Dept Biostat, Boston, MA 02215 USA
[4] Boston Univ, Sch Med, Dept Med, Clin Addict Res & Educ Unit,Sect Gen Internal Med, Boston, MA 02215 USA
[5] Massachusetts Dept Publ Hlth, Boston, MA USA
[6] Univ Massachusetts, Med Sch, Boston, MA 02125 USA
关键词
INJECTION-DRUG USE; UNITED-STATES; OVERDOSE; HOSPITALIZATIONS; INCREASES; FENTANYL;
D O I
10.2105/AJPH.2018.304673
中图分类号
R1 [预防医学、卫生学];
学科分类号
1004 ; 120402 ;
摘要
Objectives. To estimate the annual prevalence of opioid use disorder (OUD) in Massachusetts from 2011 to 2015. Methods. We performed a multisample stratified capture-recapture analysis to estimate OUD prevalence in Massachusetts. Individuals identified from 6 administrative databases for 2011 to 2012 and 7 databases for 2013 to 2015 were linked at the individual level and included in the analysis. Individuals were stratified by age group, sex, and county of residence. Results. The OUD prevalence in Massachusetts among people aged 11 years or older was 2.72% in 2011 and 2.87% in 2012. Between 2013 and 2015, the prevalence increased from 3.87% to 4.60%. The greatest increase in prevalence was observed among those in the youngest age group (11-25 years), a 76% increase from 2011 to 2012 and a 42% increase from 2013 to 2015. Conclusions. In Massachusetts, the OUD prevalence was 4.6% among people 11 years or older in 2015. The number of individuals with OUD is likely increasing, particularly among young people.
引用
收藏
页码:1675 / 1681
页数:7
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