A Velocity Obstacle-Based Real-Time Regional Ship Collision Risk Analysis Method

Maritime accidents such as ship collisions pose continuous risks to individuals and society with due to their severe consequences on human life, economic and environmental losses, etc. Supervising the maritime traffic in the different regions and maintaining its safety level is an essential task for stakeholders such as maritime safety administrations. In this research, a new ship collision risk analysis method is developed with the utilisation of AIS (Automatic Identification System) data. A velocity obstacle-based risk measurement is applied to measure the risk of collision between multiple ships from the velocity perspective, based on which, the collision risk and the complexity of the encounter situation are obtained at the same time. Secondly, a density-based clustering technique is introduced to identify the hotspots of ship traffic in the region as an indicator for maritime safety operators. A case study using historical AIS data was implemented to verify the effectiveness of the proposed approach in a manner that simulates the real-time data scenario. Furthermore, a comparison between existing risk analysis method is conducted to validate the proposed method.