A review of current challenges and trends in energy systems modeling

被引:195
作者
Lopion, Peter [1 ]
Markewitz, Peter [1 ]
Robinius, Martin [1 ]
Stolten, Detlef [1 ,2 ]
机构
[1] Forschungszentrum Julich, Inst Electrochem Proc Engn IEK 3, Wilhelm Johnen Str, D-52428 Julich, Germany
[2] Rhein Westfal TH Aachen, Forschungszentrum Julich, Inst Electrochem Proc Engn IEK 3, Wilhelm Johnen Str, D-52428 Julich, Germany
关键词
Energy systems modeling; Energy models; Energy policy; Greenhouse gas reduction; LINEAR-PROGRAMMING MODEL; FIRED POWER-PLANTS; DOMINANT CONTRIBUTION; COMPREHENSIVE MODEL; GERMAN ELECTRICITY; SUSTAINABLE ENERGY; HEAT SECTOR; OPTIMIZATION; UNCERTAINTIES; MARKAL;
D O I
10.1016/j.rser.2018.07.045
中图分类号
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号
08 ; 0830 ;
摘要
The requirements made on energy system models have changed during the last few decades. New challenges have arisen with the implementation of high shares of Renewable Energies. Along with the climate goals of the Paris Agreement, the national greenhouse gas strategies of industrialized countries involve the total restructuring of their energy systems. In order to archive these climate goals, fitted and customized models are required. For that reason, this paper focuses on national energy system models that incorporate all energy sectors and can support governmental decision making processes. The reviewed models are evaluated in terms of their characteristics, like their underlying methodology, analytical approach, time horizon and transformation path analysis, spatial and temporal resolution, licensing and modeling language. These attributes are set in the context of the region and time in which they were developed in order to identify trends in modeling. Furthermore, the revealed trends are set in the context of current challenges in energy systems modeling. Combining specified research questions and specific greenhouse gas reduction strategies, this paper will help researchers and decision makers find appropriate energy system models.
引用
收藏
页码:156 / 166
页数:11
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