System dynamics applications to European health care issues

被引：31

作者：

Dangerfield, BC ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] Univ Salford, Ctr Operat Res & Appl Stat, Salford M5 4WT, Lancs, England

来源：

JOURNAL OF THE OPERATIONAL RESEARCH SOCIETY | 1999年 / 50卷 / 04期

关键词：

system dynamics; health care; managerial learning; public policy; HIV/AIDS;

D O I：

10.2307/3010452

中图分类号：

C93 [管理学];

学科分类号：

12 ; 1201 ; 1202 ; 120202 ;

摘要：

Taking a European perspective, a review is made of some system dynamics models which address health care issues. Suggestions are made for the types of role which these models should take, bearing in mind the strategic orientation of system dynamics modelling. Examples are described of qualitative models where influence diagrams are the main analytical tool. Quantitative system dynamics models have a contribution to make in epidemiological studies and have been used to analyse the AIDS epidemic. A detailed example of one aspect of model formulation is given. This concerns the AIDS incubation time distribution and shows how real-world complications arising from virological staging and treatment effects are handled in a model of AIDS spread.

引用

页码：345 / 353

页数：9

共 36 条

[1]

ANDERSON R M, 1991

[2]

Bailey N. T. J, 1977, MATH STAT SYSTEMS HL

[3]

BAILEY NTJ, 1952, J ROY STAT SOC B, V14, P185

[4]

Balle M, 1994, MANAGING SYSTEMS THI

[5]

BRHIMI M, 1991, J OPL RES SOC, V42, P746

[6]

BRONKHORST EM, 1990, P 1990 INT SYST DYN, V1, P155

[7] A SYSTEMS-APPROACH TO THE MANAGEMENT OF A HOSPITAL FOR SHORT-TERM PATIENTS [J].

COYLE, RG .

SOCIO-ECONOMIC PLANNING SCIENCES, 1984, 18 (04) :219-226

[8]

Coyle RG., 1996, SYSTEM DYNAMICS MODE

[9]

Dangerfield B., 1989, Transactions of the Institute of Measurement and Control, V11, P187, DOI 10.1177/014233128901100404

[10] An overview of strategy and tactics in system dynamics optimization [J].

Dangerfield, B ;

Roberts, C .

JOURNAL OF THE OPERATIONAL RESEARCH SOCIETY, 1996, 47 (03) :405-423

← 1 2 3 4 →