Validation of the GRACE Risk Score for Hospital Mortality in Patients With Acute Coronary Syndrome in the Arab Middle East

被引:21
作者
Yusufali, Afzalhussein [1 ]
Zubaid, Mohammad [2 ]
Al-Zakwani, Ibrahim [3 ,4 ]
Alsheikh-Ali, Alawi A. [5 ,10 ]
Al-Mallah, Mouaz H. [6 ,7 ]
Al Suwaidi, Jassim [8 ,9 ]
AlMahmeed, Wael [10 ]
Rashed, Wafa [11 ]
Sulaiman, Kadhim [12 ]
Amin, Haitham [13 ]
机构
[1] Dubai Hlth Author, Dubai Heart Ctr, Dubai, U Arab Emirates
[2] Kuwait Univ, Fac Med, Dept Med, Kuwait, Kuwait
[3] Sultan Qaboos Univ, Dept Pharmacol & Clin Pharm, Coll Med & Hlth Sci, Muscat, Oman
[4] Gulf Hlth Res, Muscat, Oman
[5] Tufts Univ, Sch Med, Inst Clin Res & Hlth Policy Studies, Boston, MA 02111 USA
[6] Wayne State Univ, Detroit, MI USA
[7] Henry Ford Hosp, Detroit, MI 48202 USA
[8] Hamad Gen Hosp, Doha, Qatar
[9] Hamad Med Corp, Doha, Qatar
[10] Sheikh Khalifa Med City, Abu Dhabi, U Arab Emirates
[11] Mubarak Al Kabeer Hosp, Minist Hlth, Dept Med, Kuwait, Kuwait
[12] Royal Hosp, Muscat, Oman
[13] Mohammed Bin Khalifa Cardiac Ctr, Manama, Bahrain
关键词
acute coronary syndrome; risk scores; risk stratification; prognosis; EVENTS GULF RACE; MYOCARDIAL-INFARCTION; GLOBAL REGISTRY; POSTDISCHARGE DEATH; PREDICTION MODEL; TASK-FORCE; MANAGEMENT; OUTCOMES; STRATIFICATION; CARDIOLOGY;
D O I
10.1177/0003319710387921
中图分类号
R6 [外科学];
学科分类号
1002 ; 100210 ;
摘要
Our objective was to validate the Global Registry of Acute Coronary Events (GRACE) risk score for in-hospital mortality in a Middle Eastern acute coronary syndrome (ACS) population enrolled in the Gulf Registry of Acute Coronary Events (Gulf RACE). Out of 8176, unselected, consecutive patients with ACS, during 6 months in 2006 and 2007 from 63 hospitals in 6 Arab countries in the Middle East Gulf region, 7709 (94.3%) with available data were included. The main outcome measures were discriminatory performance (using C-index) and calibration of the GRACE risk score (in-hospital mortality predicted by GRACE risk score versus the actual mortality). In-hospital mortality in the Gulf RACE was 3.09% (n = 238). The discriminatory performance of the GRACE risk scores in the Gulf RACE was good overall (C-index = 0.86). Observed and predicted risk corresponded well in each stratum of risk of in-hospital mortality. This suggests its suitability for clinical use in this patient population.
引用
收藏
页码:390 / 396
页数:7
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