Precise estimates for the ruin probability in finite horizon in a discrete-time model with heavy-tailed insurance and financial risks

被引:337
作者
Tang, QH
Tsitsiashvili, G
机构
[1] Univ Amsterdam, Dept Quanititat Econ, NL-1018 WB Amsterdam, Netherlands
[2] Russian Acad Sci, Far Eastern Sci Ctr, Inst Appl Math, Vladivostok 690068, Russia
关键词
asymptotics; dominated variation; Matuszewska indices; moment index; ruin probability; subexponentiality;
D O I
10.1016/j.spa.2003.07.001
中图分类号
O21 [概率论与数理统计]; C8 [统计学];
学科分类号
020208 ; 070103 ; 0714 ;
摘要
This paper investigates the probability of ruin within finite horizon for a discrete time risk model, in which the reserve of an insurance business is currently invested in a risky asset. Under assumption that the risks are heavy tailed, some precise estimates for the finite time ruin probability are derived, which confirm a folklore that the ruin probability is mainly determined by whichever of insurance risk and financial risk is heavier than the other. In addition, some discussions on the heavy tails of the sum and product of independent random variables are involved, most of which have their own merits. (C) 2003 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:299 / 325
页数:27
相关论文
共 32 条
[1]  
BALTRUNAS A, 1999, LITHUANIAN MATH J, V39, P240
[2]  
BINGHAM N. H., 1989, Regular variation
[3]   ON SOME LIMIT THEOREMS SIMILAR TO ARC-SIN LAW [J].
BREIMAN, L .
THEORY OF PROBILITY AND ITS APPLICATIONS,USSR, 1965, 10 (02) :323-&
[4]   Ruin probabilities with dependent rates of interest [J].
Cai, J .
JOURNAL OF APPLIED PROBABILITY, 2002, 39 (02) :312-323
[5]  
Chistyakov V. P., 1964, THEOR PROBAB APPL, V9, P640, DOI DOI 10.1137/1109088
[6]   DEGENERACY PROPERTIES OF SUBCRITICAL BRANCHING PROCESSES [J].
CHOVER, J ;
NEY, P ;
WAINGER, S .
ANNALS OF PROBABILITY, 1973, 1 (04) :663-673
[7]   FUNCTIONS OF PROBABILITY MEASURES [J].
CHOVER, J ;
NEY, P ;
WAINGER, S .
JOURNAL D ANALYSE MATHEMATIQUE, 1973, 26 :255-302
[8]   CONVOLUTIONS OF DISTRIBUTIONS WITH EXPONENTIAL AND SUBEXPONENTIAL TAILS [J].
CLINE, DBH .
JOURNAL OF THE AUSTRALIAN MATHEMATICAL SOCIETY SERIES A-PURE MATHEMATICS AND STATISTICS, 1987, 43 :347-365
[9]  
CLINE DBH, 1986, PROBAB THEORY REL, V72, P529, DOI 10.1007/BF00344720
[10]   SUBEXPONENTIALITY OF THE PRODUCT OF INDEPENDENT RANDOM-VARIABLES [J].
CLINE, DBH ;
SAMORODNITSKY, E .
STOCHASTIC PROCESSES AND THEIR APPLICATIONS, 1994, 49 (01) :75-98