Solar radiation forecasting with multiple parameters neural networks

被引:89
作者
Kashyap, Yashwant [1 ]
Bansal, Ankit [2 ]
Sao, Anil K. [3 ]
机构
[1] IIT Mandi, Sch Engn, Mandi, India
[2] IIT Roorkee, Dept Mech Engn, Roorkee, Uttar Pradesh, India
[3] IIT Mandi, Sch Comp & Elect Engn, Mandi, India
关键词
Artificial Neural Network (ANN); Forecasting; Modeling; Global Horizontal irradiance (GHI); HIDDEN NEURONS; RECURRENT; NUMBER; GENERATION; STABILITY; SYSTEMS; BOUNDS; LAYERS;
D O I
10.1016/j.rser.2015.04.077
中图分类号
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号
08 ; 0830 ;
摘要
Neural networks with a good modeling capability have been used increasingly to predict and forecast solar radiation. Even diverse application of neural network has been reported in literatures such as robotics, pattern recognition, forecasting, power systems, optimization and social/psychological sciences etc. The models have categorized the review under three major performance schemes such as delay, number of neurons and activation function for establishment of neural network architecture. In each of these categories, we summarize the major applications of eight well recognized and often used neural network models of which the last two are custom based. The anticipated model are initiated and validated with 10 metrological parameters further in sub-categories. Evaluation of its accuracy associated with special flexibility of the model is demonstrated through the results based on parameter range. In summary, we conclude the best result showing that the delays, neuron, transfer function, model, parameters and RMSE errors are in range of 15 or 30, 10 or 20, tansig, Elman Back Propagation network, bulb point temperature or direct normal radiation, 9-10 and 25-35% training to the test cases. The review discloses the incredible view of using the neural networks in solar forecast. The work of other researchers in the field of renewable energy and other energy systems is also reported which can be used in the future in the works of this field. (C) 2015 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:825 / 835
页数:11
相关论文
共 63 条
[1]   Predictive control of an integrated PV-diesel water and power supply system using an artificial neural network [J].
Al-Alawi, Ali ;
Al-Alawi, Saleh M. ;
Islam, Syed M. .
RENEWABLE ENERGY, 2007, 32 (08) :1426-1439
[2]   Computation of beam solar radiation at normal incidence using artificial neural network [J].
Alma, Shah ;
Kaushik, S. C. ;
Garg, S. N. .
RENEWABLE ENERGY, 2006, 31 (10) :1483-1491
[3]  
Angela K., 2011, ADV ARTIF NEURAL SYS, DOI DOI 10.1155/2011/751908
[4]  
[Anonymous], DAILY GLOBAL SOLAR R
[5]   An integrated artificial neural networks approach for predicting global radiation [J].
Azadeh, A. ;
Maghsoudi, A. ;
Sohrabkhani, S. .
ENERGY CONVERSION AND MANAGEMENT, 2009, 50 (06) :1497-1505
[6]   USE OF NEURAL NETS FOR DYNAMIC MODELING AND CONTROL OF CHEMICAL PROCESS SYSTEMS [J].
BHAT, N ;
MCAVOY, TJ .
COMPUTERS & CHEMICAL ENGINEERING, 1990, 14 (4-5) :573-583
[7]   Neural network applications in power electronics and motor drives- An introduction and perspective [J].
Bose, Bimal K. .
IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON INDUSTRIAL ELECTRONICS, 2007, 54 (01) :14-33
[8]  
Caudill M., 1994, UNDERSTANDING NEURAL
[9]   Neural Network Ensemble-Based Solar Power Generation Short-Term Forecasting [J].
Chaouachi, Aymen ;
Kamel, Rashad M. ;
Nagasaka, Ken .
JOURNAL OF ADVANCED COMPUTATIONAL INTELLIGENCE AND INTELLIGENT INFORMATICS, 2010, 14 (01) :69-75
[10]   Analog versus discrete neural networks [J].
DasGupta, B ;
Schnitger, G .
NEURAL COMPUTATION, 1996, 8 (04) :805-818