Validation of a renal risk score in a cohort of ANCA-associated vasculitis patients with severe kidney damage

Objective To validate the renal risk score in a cohort of patients with advanced kidney damage. Methods A total of 72 patients with biopsy-proven ANCA glomerulonephritis with >12 months of follow-up were studied. The renal risk score was calculated and evaluated by survival analysis for time of renal survival. Cohort-specific clinical, histopathologic, and post-treatment factors associated with renal survival were determined by Cox regression analysis. Results Kidney biopsies were classified as focal, crescentic, mixed, and sclerotic classes in 6 (8%), 4 (6%), 25 (35%), and 37 (51%) patients, respectively. The 1-, 3-, and 5-year renal survival rates were 79%, 73%, and 68%, respectively. Patients were segregated by the risk score in low- (18%), medium- (47%), and high-risk (35%) groups. Patients in the low-risk group had 36-, 60-, and 84-month renal survival of 100%; those in the medium risk 85% (95% CI 72-92), 81% (95% CI 66-95), and 76% (95% CI 60-92), respectively; and those in the high risk 37% (95% CI 17-57), 26% (95% CI 7-45), and 18% (95% CI 1-36), respectively. Six (43%) of the 14 patients in the high-risk group recovered renal function after the initial episode, and 2 (14%) remained dialysis-free. Other parameters associated with renal survival included age, proteinuria, general symptoms, cellular crescents, glomerulosclerosis, tubulointerstitial lesions, best post-treatment eGFR, and renal relapses. Conclusions We validated the renal risk score as a prognostic tool in a cohort with predominantly mixed and sclerotic histologic categories. Since patients in the high-risk group still benefited from immunosuppressive therapy, this score should be used in conjunction with other predictive parameters to aid therapeutic decisions.Key Points center dot The ANCA renal risk score is validated in a cohort with advanced kidney damage.center dot Patients in the high-risk group still benefited from immunosuppressive therapy.center dot Parameters not included in the risk score are associated with renal survival and may be useful.