The Effect of Grade Retention on Adult Crime: Evidence from a Test-Based Promotion Policy

被引:10
作者
Eren, Ozkan [1 ]
Lovenheim, Michael F. [2 ,3 ]
Mocan, H. Naci [3 ,4 ]
机构
[1] Univ Calif Riverside, Riverside, CA 92521 USA
[2] Cornell Univ, Ithaca, NY 14853 USA
[3] NBER, Cambridge, MA 02138 USA
[4] Louisiana State Univ, Baton Rouge, LA 70803 USA
关键词
MALE INCARCERATION; SCHOOL; EDUCATION; HEALTH; BENEFITS; DROPOUT; AGE;
D O I
10.1086/715836
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
We present the first analysis of the effect of grade retention on adult criminal convictions, exploiting test cutoffs for ninth-grade promotion in Louisiana. Eighth-grade retention increases the likelihood of violent crime conviction by 1.05 percentage points (58.44%) and increases the number of violent crime convictions at first conviction. The effects are likely driven by declines in high school peer quality and reduced educational investments that result in lower noncognitive skill acquisition. Extrapolating effects away from the cutoff shows that our results are generalizable to a larger group of low-performing students and are evident for both property and drug crimes.
引用
收藏
页码:361 / 395
页数:35
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