Electricity load forecasting and feature extraction in smart grid using neural networks

被引:27
作者
Jha, Nishant [1 ]
Prashar, Deepak [1 ]
Rashid, Mamoon [2 ]
Gupta, Sachin Kumar [3 ]
Saket, R. K. [4 ]
机构
[1] Lovely Profess Univ, Sch Comp Sci & Engn, Phagwara, Punjab, India
[2] Vishwakarma Univ, Fac Sci & Technol, Dept Comp Engn, Pune, Maharashtra, India
[3] Shri Mata Vaishno Devi Univ, Sch Elect & Commun Engn, Katra, India
[4] Indian Inst Technol BHU, Dept Elect Engn, Varanasi, Uttar Pradesh, India
关键词
Smart grids; Load forecasting; Statistical technique; Artificial neural network (ANN); Long short term memory (LSTM); Random forest; Mean square error (MSE);
D O I
10.1016/j.compeleceng.2021.107479
中图分类号
TP3 [计算技术、计算机技术];
学科分类号
0812 ;
摘要
Load forecasting plays an essential role in effective energy planning and distribution in a smart grid. However, due to the unpredictable and non-linear structure of smart grids and large data sets' complex nature, accurate load forecasting is still challenging. Statistical techniques are being used for a long time for load forecasting, but it is inefficient. This paper tries to resolve challenges imposed by conventional methods like mean and mode by suggesting an ANN model for accurate load forecasting. Specifically, the LSTM and random forest approach has been used here. We compared our model to other models that use similar parameters and found that ours is more reliable and can be used for long-term forecasting. Our model has achieved an average overall accuracy of 96% and an average MSE of 4.486 with average CPU time consumption of 904.47 s, 872.43 s, and 908.32 s, respectively. Hence, the present model outperforms other existing methods.
引用
收藏
页数:12
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