Indian vehicle ownership and travel behavior: A case study of Bengaluru, Delhi and Kolkata

被引:37
作者
Bonsal, Prateek [1 ]
Kockelman, Kara M. [2 ]
Schievelbein, Will [3 ]
Schauer-West, Scott [4 ]
机构
[1] Cornell Univ, Ithaca, NY 14853 USA
[2] Univ Texas Austin, Dept Civil Architectural & Environm Engn, Austin, TX 78712 USA
[3] Univ Texas Austin, Dept Mech Engn, Operat Res & Ind Engn Grad Program, Austin, TX 78712 USA
[4] Univ Texas Austin, Austin, TX 78712 USA
关键词
Travel behaviour; Vehicle ownership; Multinomial logit model; Trip generation; CHENNAI;
D O I
10.1016/j.retrec.2018.07.025
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
India's vehicle fleet and travel behaviors will have enormous consequences to the world's economy and environment. This study developed a survey for over 1000 residents of India (or Indians) on topics of vehicle ownership and travel behavior in the key cities of Bengaluru (India's "Silicon Valley"), Kolkata (India's third most-populous metro area, formerly known as Calcutta) and Delhi (India's capital city). The data were then used to model vehicle ownership and use decisions, and other trip-making choices in those three regions, versus other parts of India. Covariates of personal income, household size and residence location were all found to be statistically and practically significant' in models of vehicle distances traveled. A multinomial logit model was used to predict vehicle types owned (including motorized two-wheel and four-wheel vehicles), and a Poisson model was used for vehicle ownership counts. Income and other household assets were also valuable predictors. An origin model for vehicle manufacture was also calibrated to help deliver future-year projections. The results suggest that the vehicles-per-person statistic will grow at an average annual growth rate of 5.7% over the next 20 years at least in the regions of sampled data.
引用
收藏
页码:2 / 8
页数:7
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