risk process;
probability of ruin;
time to ruin;
martingales;
optional sampling;
piecewise deterministic Markov processes;
D O I:
10.1016/S0304-4149(03)00072-3
中图分类号:
O21 [概率论与数理统计];
C8 [统计学];
学科分类号:
020208 ;
070103 ;
0714 ;
摘要:
We determine the ultimate ruin probability and the Laplace transform of the distribution of the time to ruin in the classical risk model, where claims arrive according to a renewal process, with waiting times that are of phase-type, while the claims themselves follow a distribution with a Laplace transform that is a rational function. The main tools are martingales, the optional sampling theorem and results from the theory of piecewise deterministic Markov processes. (C) 2003 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.