Backcasting for sustainability: Introduction to the special issue

被引：211
作者：
Vergragt, Philip J. [1 ,3 ]
Quist, Jaco [2 ]
机构：
[1] Tellus Inst, Boston, MA 02116 USA
[2] Delft Univ Technol, Technol Dynam & Sustainable Dev Grp, Policy & Management Fac, NL-2600 AA Delft, Netherlands
[3] Clark Univ, Worcester, MA 01610 USA
来源：
TECHNOLOGICAL FORECASTING AND SOCIAL CHANGE | 2011年 / 78卷 / 05期
关键词：
Backcasting; Sustainability; Normative scenarios; History of backcasting; Stakeholder participation; Follow-up and spin-off; Urban sustainability policy; CO2; REDUCTION; PART II; PERSPECTIVE; TECHNOLOGY; TRANSITION; FUTURE;
D O I：
10.1016/j.techfore.2011.03.010
中图分类号：
F [经济];
学科分类号：
02 ;
摘要：
In this introductory paper we introduce the special issue on "Backcasting for Sustainability". We present briefly a historical background, and position backcasting in the wider context of future studies, in which it can be related to "normative forecasting" and normative scenarios. We reflect on the diversity and variety of backcasting studies and experiments, as presented in the ten papers for this special issue. After summarizing the papers we formulate a future research agenda. (C) 2011 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码：747 / 755
页数：9
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