Public opinion on climate change in the USA: to what extent can it be nudged by questionnaire design features?

被引：2

作者：

Chen, Catherine ^{[1
]}

MacInnis, Bo ^{[1
]}

Waltman, Matthew ^{[2
]}

Krosnick, Jon A. ^{[1
,2
,3
]}

机构：

[1] Stanford Univ, Dept Commun, Stanford, CA 94305 USA

[2] Stanford Univ, Dept Polit Sci, Stanford, CA 94305 USA

[3] Stanford Univ, Dept Psychol, Stanford, CA 94305 USA

来源：

CLIMATIC CHANGE | 2021年 / 167卷 / 3-4期

基金：

美国国家科学基金会;

关键词：

Public opinion; Survey methodology; Order effect; Wording effect; REJECTIVE MULTIPLE TEST; INTERNET SURVEYS; PROBABILITY; TELEPHONE; PREVALENCE; PERCEPTION; ATTITUDES; ACCURACY; SAMPLES;

D O I：

10.1007/s10584-021-03194-x

中图分类号：

X [环境科学、安全科学];

学科分类号：

08 ; 0830 ;

摘要：

Policymakers may wish to take into account public opinion on climate change as they craft legislation, but if public opinion changes substantially in response to seemingly trivial changes in survey questionnaire design, perhaps such reliance would be unwise. This paper examines 110 experiments implemented in surveys of truly random samples of American adults between 2012 and 2018 (N=4414), exploring the extent to which answers to questions were influenced by order and wording manipulations. Of 144 tests, 31 (22%) yielded statistically significant effects. Adjustments for multiple hypothesis tests reduced this percentage to between 7 and 9%. The effect sizes are routinely small. These results are consistent with the conclusion that survey results on climate change issues are relatively robust, so policymakers can take them seriously if they wish to do so.

引用

页数：18

共 48 条

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Catherine Chen
Bo MacInnis
Matthew Waltman
Jon A. Krosnick
Climatic Change, 2021, 167
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