TransNIEMO: economic impact analysis using a model of consistent inter-regional economic and network equilibria

被引:12
作者
Cho, JoongKoo [1 ]
Gordon, Peter [2 ]
Moore, James E., II [3 ]
Pan, Qisheng [4 ]
Park, JiYoung [5 ,6 ,7 ]
Richardson, Harry W. [8 ]
机构
[1] Southern Calif Assoc Govt, Div Land Use & Environm Planning, Dept Res & Anal, Los Angeles, CA 90017 USA
[2] Univ So Calif, Sol Price Sch Publ Policy, Los Angeles, CA 90089 USA
[3] Univ So Calif, Sol Price Sch Publ Policy, Epstein Dept Ind & Syst Engn, Los Angeles, CA 90089 USA
[4] Texas So Univ, Dept Urban Planning & Environm Policy, Houston, TX 77004 USA
[5] Sungkyunkwan Univ, Dept Publ Adm, Seoul 110745, South Korea
[6] Sungkyunkwan Univ, Grad Sch Governance, Seoul 110745, South Korea
[7] SUNY Buffalo, Dept Urban & Reg Planning, Buffalo, NY 14214 USA
[8] Autonomous Univ State Mexico, Toluca De Lerdo 50120, Mexico
关键词
multiregional input-output model; highway network; inter-state commodity shipments; highway infrastructure failure; INPUT-OUTPUT-ANALYSIS; SYSTEM;
D O I
10.1080/03081060.2015.1039230
中图分类号
U [交通运输];
学科分类号
08 ; 0823 ;
摘要
We describe a model that integrates a multiregional input-output (I-O) model of the USA (for 50 States and the District of Columbia) with the national highway network. Inter-state commodity shipments are placed on a congestible highway network. Simulations of major choke-point disruptions redirect traffic which increases the costs of some shipments. Increased costs show up in higher prices which help to determine a new I-O equilibrium. We find economic and network equilibria that are consistent. The simulations show only moderate economic impacts. We ascribe this to the resilience of the highway network. The model provides State-level detail on who bears the costs of the disruptions.
引用
收藏
页码:483 / 502
页数:20
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