Decision of surgical approach for advanced gallbladder adenocarcinoma based on a Bayesian network

被引:14
作者
Cong, Long-Long [1 ]
Cai, Zhi-Qiang [2 ]
Guo, Peng [2 ]
Chen, Chen [1 ]
Liu, De-Chun [1 ]
Li, Wen-Zhi [1 ]
Wang, Lin [1 ]
Zhao, Yaling [3 ]
Si, Shu-Bin [2 ]
Geng, Zhi-Min [1 ]
机构
[1] Xi An Jiao Tong Univ, Affiliated Hosp 1, Dept Hepatobiliary Surg, Xian 710061, Shaanxi, Peoples R China
[2] Northwestern Polytech Univ, Sch Mech Engn, Dept Ind Engn, Xian 710072, Shaanxi, Peoples R China
[3] Xi An Jiao Tong Univ, Sch Publ Hlth, Dept Epidemiol & Biostat, Hlth Sci Ctr, Xian, Shaanxi, Peoples R China
基金
中国国家自然科学基金;
关键词
Bayesian network model; gallbladder adenocarcinoma; predictive model; surgery; TNM stage; LYMPH-NODE INVOLVEMENT; PROGNOSTIC-FACTORS; RADICAL SURGERY; BILE-DUCT; CANCER; RESECTION; MANAGEMENT; SURVIVAL; NOMOGRAM; THERAPY;
D O I
10.1002/jso.24797
中图分类号
R73 [肿瘤学];
学科分类号
100214 ;
摘要
Background and ObjectivesTo determine whether radical resection can benefit patients with advanced gallbladder adenocarcinoma using a Bayesian network (BN) with clinical data. MethodsIn total, 362 patients who had undergone surgical treatment of gallbladder adenocarcinoma at a tertiary institute were evaluated to establish two BN models using a tree-augmented naive Bayes algorithm. We then chose 250 patients with T3-4N0-2M0 stage gallbladder adenocarcinoma to test the posterior probability after the surgical type was taken into account. ResultsIn total, 170 patients (7 months) and 137 patients (>7 months) were correctly classified in the median survival time model (accuracy, 84.81%), and 204 patients (12 months), 15 patients (12-36 months), 17 patients (36-60 months), and 34 patients (>60 months) were correctly classified in the 1-, 3-, and 5-year survival model (accuracy, 74.59%), respectively. Every posterior probability in the two models upregulated the ratio of the longer survival time and suggested a better prognosis for gallbladder adenocarcinoma that can be improved by R0 resection. ConclusionsThese BN models indicate that stages T4 and N2 gallbladder adenocarcinoma are not contraindications for surgery and that R0 resection can improve survival in patients with advanced gallbladder adenocarcinoma.
引用
收藏
页码:1123 / 1131
页数:9
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