Ice core evidence indicates that even though atmospheric CO2 concentrations did not exceed similar to 300 ppm at any point during the last 800 000 years, East Antarctica was at least similar to 3-4 A degrees C warmer than preindustrial (CO2 similar to 280 ppm) in each of the last four interglacials. During the previous three interglacials, this anomalous warming was short lived (similar to 3000 years) and apparently occurred before the completion of Northern Hemisphere deglaciation. Hereafter, we refer to these periods as 'Warmer than Present Transients' (WPTs). We present a series of experiments to investigate the impact of deglacial meltwater on the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) and Antarctic temperature. It is well known that a slowed AMOC would increase southern sea surface temperature (SST) through the bipolar seesaw and observational data suggests that the AMOC remained weak throughout the terminations preceding WPTs, strengthening rapidly at a time which coincides closely with peak Antarctic temperature. We present two 800 kyr transient simulations using the Intermediate Complexity model GENIE-1 which demonstrate that meltwater forcing generates transient southern warming that is consistent with the timing of WPTs, but is not sufficient (in this single parameterisation) to reproduce the magnitude of observed warmth. In order to investigate model and boundary condition uncertainty, we present three ensembles of transient GENIE-1 simulations across Termination II (135 000 to 124 000 BP) and three snapshot HadCM3 simulations at 130 000 BP. Only with consideration of the possible feedback of West Antarctic Ice Sheet (WAIS) retreat does it become possible to simulate the magnitude of observed warming.
机构:
Univ Calif Santa Barbara, Dept Earth Sci, Santa Barbara, CA 93106 USA
Univ Calif Santa Barbara, Inst Marine Sci, Santa Barbara, CA 93106 USAUniv Calif Santa Barbara, Dept Earth Sci, Santa Barbara, CA 93106 USA
Wilson, Douglas S.
Pollard, David
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Penn State Univ, Earth & Environm Syst Inst, University Pk, PA 16802 USAUniv Calif Santa Barbara, Dept Earth Sci, Santa Barbara, CA 93106 USA
Pollard, David
DeConto, Robert M.
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Univ Massachusetts, Dept Geosci, Amherst, MA 01003 USAUniv Calif Santa Barbara, Dept Earth Sci, Santa Barbara, CA 93106 USA
DeConto, Robert M.
Jamieson, Stewart S. R.
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Univ Durham, Dept Geog, Durham, EnglandUniv Calif Santa Barbara, Dept Earth Sci, Santa Barbara, CA 93106 USA
Jamieson, Stewart S. R.
Luyendyk, Bruce P.
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Univ Calif Santa Barbara, Dept Earth Sci, Santa Barbara, CA 93106 USA
Univ Calif Santa Barbara, Earth Res Inst, Santa Barbara, CA 93106 USAUniv Calif Santa Barbara, Dept Earth Sci, Santa Barbara, CA 93106 USA
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Louisiana State Univ, Dept Biol Sci, Baton Rouge, LA 70803 USALouisiana State Univ, Dept Biol Sci, Baton Rouge, LA 70803 USA
Christner, Brent C.
Priscu, John C.
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Montana State Univ, Dept Land Resources & Environm Sci, Bozeman, MT 59717 USALouisiana State Univ, Dept Biol Sci, Baton Rouge, LA 70803 USA
Priscu, John C.
Achberger, Amanda M.
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Louisiana State Univ, Dept Biol Sci, Baton Rouge, LA 70803 USALouisiana State Univ, Dept Biol Sci, Baton Rouge, LA 70803 USA
Achberger, Amanda M.
Barbante, Carlo
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CNR, Inst Dynam Environm Proc, I-30123 Venice, Italy
Ca Foscari Univ Venice, Dept Environm Sci Informat & Stat, I-30123 Venice, ItalyLouisiana State Univ, Dept Biol Sci, Baton Rouge, LA 70803 USA
Barbante, Carlo
Carter, Sasha P.
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Univ Calif San Diego, Scripps Inst Oceanog, Inst Geophys & Planetary Phys, La Jolla, CA 92093 USALouisiana State Univ, Dept Biol Sci, Baton Rouge, LA 70803 USA
Carter, Sasha P.
Christianson, Knut
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St Olaf Coll, Dept Phys, Northfield, MN 55057 USALouisiana State Univ, Dept Biol Sci, Baton Rouge, LA 70803 USA
Christianson, Knut
Michaud, Alexander B.
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Montana State Univ, Dept Land Resources & Environm Sci, Bozeman, MT 59717 USALouisiana State Univ, Dept Biol Sci, Baton Rouge, LA 70803 USA
Michaud, Alexander B.
Mikucki, Jill A.
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Univ Tennessee, Dept Microbiol, Knoxville, TN 37996 USALouisiana State Univ, Dept Biol Sci, Baton Rouge, LA 70803 USA
Mikucki, Jill A.
Mitchell, Andrew C.
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Aberystwyth Univ, Dept Geog & Earth Sci, Aberystwyth SY23 3DB, Dyfed, WalesLouisiana State Univ, Dept Biol Sci, Baton Rouge, LA 70803 USA
Mitchell, Andrew C.
Skidmore, Mark L.
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Montana State Univ, Dept Earth Sci, Bozeman, MT 59717 USALouisiana State Univ, Dept Biol Sci, Baton Rouge, LA 70803 USA
Skidmore, Mark L.
Vick-Majors, Trista J.
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Montana State Univ, Dept Land Resources & Environm Sci, Bozeman, MT 59717 USALouisiana State Univ, Dept Biol Sci, Baton Rouge, LA 70803 USA