Self-protection against repeated low probability risks

被引:14
作者
Shafran, Aric P. [1 ]
机构
[1] Calif Polytech State Univ San Luis Obispo, Dept Econ, Orfalea Coll Business, San Luis Obispo, CA 93407 USA
关键词
Self-protection; Risk mitigation; Experiments; Low probability risks; PROSPECT-THEORY; LOSS AVERSION; INSURANCE; DECISIONS; UNCERTAINTY; EVENTS; CHOICE;
D O I
10.1007/s11166-011-9116-2
中图分类号
F8 [财政、金融];
学科分类号
0202 ;
摘要
This paper reports the results of experiments designed to test the effect of experience on preferences for self-protection against low and high probability losses. Subjects gained experience by repeatedly making choices about whether or not to invest in a protective activity and then observing the result of their choice. Half of the subjects faced a low probability risk while the other half faced a higher probability risk with the severity of loss scaled down to hold expected value constant. Protection was more common against the high probability risk. Despite receiving full information about the risks in advance, most subjects made choices in response to prior outcomes. This led to a great deal of experimentation when losses were common (the high probability risk) but very little experimentation when losses were infrequent (the low probability risk).
引用
收藏
页码:263 / 285
页数:23
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