Potential deployment of offshore bottom pressure gauges and adoption of data assimilation for tsunami warning system in the western Mediterranean Sea

被引:26
|
作者
Heidarzadeh, Mohammad [1 ]
Wang, Yuchen [2 ]
Satake, Kenji [2 ]
Mulia, Iyan E. [2 ]
机构
[1] Brunel Univ London, Dept Civil Environm Engn, Uxbridge UB8 3PH, Middx, England
[2] Univ Tokyo, Earthquake Res Inst, Tokyo 1130032, Japan
基金
日本学术振兴会;
关键词
Mediterranean Sea; Tsunami; Earthquake; Tsunami warning system; Offshore bottom pressure gauge; Tsunami data assimilation; ALGERIA EARTHQUAKE; BODRUM-KOS; MODEL; COAST;
D O I
10.1186/s40562-019-0149-8
中图分类号
P [天文学、地球科学];
学科分类号
07 ;
摘要
Western Mediterranean Basin (WMB) is among tsunamigenic zones with numerous historical records of tsunami damage and deaths. Most recently, a moderate tsunami on 21 May 2003 offshore Algeria, North Africa, was a fresh call for strengthening tsunami warning capabilities in this enclosed water basin. Here, we propose to deploy offshore bottom pressure gauges (OBPGs) and to adopt the framework of a tsunami data assimilation (TDA) approach for providing timely tsunami forecasts. We demonstrate the potential enhancement of the tsunami warning system through the case study of the 2003 Algeria tsunami. Four scenarios of OBPG arrangements involving 10, 5, 3 and 2 gauges are considered. The offshore gauges are located at distances of 120-300 km from the North African coast. The warning lead times are 20, 30, 48 and 55 min for four points of interest considered in this study: Ibiza, Palma, Sant Antoni and Barcelona, respectively. The forecast accuracies are in the range of 69-85% for the four OBPG scenarios revealing acceptable accuracies for tsunami warnings. We conclude that installation of OBPGs in the WMB can be helpful for providing successful and timely tsunami forecasts. We note that the OBPG scenarios proposed in this study are applicable only for the case of the 2003 Algeria tsunami. Further studies including sensitivity analyses (e.g., number of OBPG stations; earthquake magnitude, strike, epicenter) are required in order to determine OBPG arrangements that could be useful for various earthquake scenarios in the WMB.
引用
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页数:12
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    Mohammad Heidarzadeh
    Yuchen Wang
    Kenji Satake
    Iyan E. Mulia
    Geoscience Letters, 6
  • [2] A Tsunami Warning System Based on Offshore Bottom Pressure Gauges and Data Assimilation for Crete Island in the Eastern Mediterranean Basin
    Wang, Yuchen
    Heidarzadeh, Mohammad
    Satake, Kenji
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    Yamada, Masaki
    JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-SOLID EARTH, 2020, 125 (10)