Deterministic versus evidence-based attitude towards clinical diagnosis

被引:11
作者
Soltani, Akbar
Moayyeri, Alireza
机构
[1] Endocrinology and Metabolism Research Center, Shariati Hospital, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran
[2] Endocrinology and Metabolism Research Centre, Shariati Hospital, Tehran 14114, North Kargar Ave
关键词
Bayes' theorem; confidence intervals; diagnosis; evidence-based medicine; medical decision making; sensitivity/specificity;
D O I
10.1111/j.1365-2753.2007.00716.x
中图分类号
R19 [保健组织与事业(卫生事业管理)];
学科分类号
摘要
Generally, two basic classes have been proposed for scientific explanation of events. Deductive reasoning emphasizes on reaching conclusions about a hypothesis based on verification of universal laws pertinent to that hypothesis, while inductive or probabilistic reasoning explains an event by calculation of some probabilities for that event to be related to a given hypothesis. Although both types of reasoning are used in clinical practice, evidence-based medicine stresses on the advantages of the second approach for most instances in medical decision making. While 'probabilistic or evidence-based' reasoning seems to involve more mathematical formulas at the first look, this attitude is more dynamic and less imprisoned by the rigidity of mathematics comparing with 'deterministic or mathematical attitude'. In the field of medical diagnosis, appreciation of uncertainty in clinical encounters and utilization of likelihood ratio as measure of accuracy seem to be the most important characteristics of evidence-based doctors. Other characteristics include use of series of tests for refining probability, changing diagnostic thresholds considering external evidences and nature of the disease, and attention to confidence intervals to estimate uncertainty of research-derived parameters.
引用
收藏
页码:533 / 537
页数:5
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