A dynamic Ellsberg urn experiment

被引:37
作者
Dominiak, Adam [1 ]
Duersch, Peter [1 ]
Lefort, Jean-Philippe [1 ]
机构
[1] Heidelberg Univ, Dept Econ, D-69115 Heidelberg, Germany
关键词
Non-expected utility preferences; Ambiguity; Updating; Dynamic consistency; Consequentialism; Experiment; AMBIGUITY AVERSION LITERATURE; EXPECTED UTILITY; CONSISTENCY; CHOICE; PREFERENCES; CONSEQUENTIALISM; PROBABILITIES; UNCERTAINTY;
D O I
10.1016/j.geb.2012.01.002
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
Many theories of updating under ambiguity assume either dynamic consistency or consequentialism to underpin behaviorally the link between conditional and unconditional preferences. To test the descriptive validity of these rationality concepts, we conduct a dynamic extension of Ellsberg's 3-color experiment. We find that more subjects act in line with consequentialism than with dynamic consistency and that this result is even stronger among ambiguity averse subjects. (C) 2012 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:625 / 638
页数:14
相关论文
共 44 条
[1]  
Al-Najjar NI, 2009, ECON PHILOS, V25, P249, DOI 10.1017/S026626710999023X
[2]   Ambiguous events and maxmin expected utility [J].
Amarante, Massimiliano ;
Filiz, Emel .
JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC THEORY, 2007, 134 (01) :1-33
[3]   Dynamic and consequential consistency of choices between paths of decision trees [J].
Busemeyer, JR ;
Weg, E ;
Barkan, R ;
Li, XY ;
Ma, ZP .
JOURNAL OF EXPERIMENTAL PSYCHOLOGY-GENERAL, 2000, 129 (04) :530-545
[4]   RECENT DEVELOPMENTS IN MODELING PREFERENCES - UNCERTAINTY AND AMBIGUITY [J].
CAMERER, C ;
WEBER, M .
JOURNAL OF RISK AND UNCERTAINTY, 1992, 5 (04) :325-370
[5]   Sealed bid auctions with ambiguity:: Theory and experiments [J].
Chen, Yan ;
Katuscak, Peter ;
Ozdenoren, Emre .
JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC THEORY, 2007, 136 (01) :513-535
[6]  
COHEN M, 2000, RISK DECISION POLICY, V5, P123, DOI DOI 10.1017/S1357530900000132
[7]   Dynamic choice and the common ratio effect: An experimental investigation [J].
Cubitt, RP ;
Starmer, C ;
Sugden, R .
ECONOMIC JOURNAL, 1998, 108 (450) :1362-1380
[8]   CHARACTERIZING PHYSICIANS PERCEPTIONS OF AMBIGUITY [J].
CURLEY, SP ;
YOUNG, MJ ;
YATES, JF .
MEDICAL DECISION MAKING, 1989, 9 (02) :116-124
[9]  
DUBOIS D, 1994, ADV DEMPSTER SHAFER, P71
[10]   Uncertainty aversion and dynamic consistency [J].
Eichberger, J ;
Kelsey, D .
INTERNATIONAL ECONOMIC REVIEW, 1996, 37 (03) :625-640