Scenario Analysis on Future Internet

被引：0

作者：

Leva, Tapio ^{[1
]}

Hammainen, Heikki ^{[1
]}

Kilkki, Kalevi ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] TKK Helsinki Univ Technol, Dept Commun & Networking, FIN-02015 Helsinki, Finland

来源：

2009 FIRST INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON EVOLVING INTERNET (INTERNET 2009) | 2009年

关键词：

future; Internet; scenario analysis; network architecture; value distribution;

D O I：

10.1109/INTERNET.2009.15

中图分类号：

TP301 [理论、方法];

学科分类号：

081202 ;

摘要：

The Internet has grown out of its original scope and scale while its importance for the society has increased. This has raised considerable uncertainties and concerns about the future evolution. We apply Schoemaker's scenario planning method to identify and analyze the key trends and uncertainties and to create four alternative evolution scenarios for the Internet. The scenarios reveal that the challenges the Internet is facing can be solved in various ways, yet leading to different network and business architectures. The results are valuable in directing research efforts to the most relevant issues.

引用

页码：52 / 59

页数：8

共 50 条

[21] Beaming market simulation to the future by combining agent-based modeling with scenario analysis [J].

Stummer C. ;

Lüpke L. ;

Günther M. .

Journal of Business Economics, 2021, 91 (9) :1469-1497

[22] Future goods transport in Sweden 2050: Using a Delphi-based scenario analysis [J].

Melander, Lisa ;

Dubois, Anna ;

Hedvall, Klas ;

Lind, Frida .

TECHNOLOGICAL FORECASTING AND SOCIAL CHANGE, 2019, 138 :178-189

[23] A future scenario analysis of the impact of EU ETS on the pan-European power system [J].

Siface, D. ;

Zani, A. ;

Gelmini, A. ;

L'Abbate, A. ;

Benini, M. .

2016 AEIT INTERNATIONAL ANNUAL CONFERENCE (AEIT) - SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT IN THE MEDITERRANEAN AREA: ENERGY AND ICT NETWORKS OF THE FUTURE, 2016,

[24] Scenario Analysis for Arctic Marine Resource Policy [J].

Vestergaard, Niels .

ARCTIC MARINE RESOURCE GOVERNANCE AND DEVELOPMENT, 2018, :75-86

[25] A Scenario Analysis of a Folk Pagan Intentional Community [J].

Kotlik, George .

INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL FOR THE STUDY OF NEW RELIGIONS, 2022, 13 (02) :130-162

[26] Web 3.0: The Future of Internet [J].

Gan, Wensheng ;

Ye, Zhenqiang ;

Wan, Shicheng ;

Yu, Philip S. .

COMPANION OF THE WORLD WIDE WEB CONFERENCE, WWW 2023, 2023, :1266-1275

[27] The future of medical education on the Internet [J].

Stern, LS .

DRUG INFORMATION JOURNAL, 1998, 32 (04) :997-1004

[28] The Future of Medical Education on the Internet [J].

Lawrence S. Stern .

Drug information journal : DIJ / Drug Information Association, 1998, 32 (4) :997-1004

[29] Investigating the future of Internet regulation [J].

Westphal, H ;

Towell, E .

INTERNET RESEARCH-ELECTRONIC NETWORKING APPLICATIONS AND POLICY, 1998, 8 (01) :26-+

[30] Internet of Things: Future Vision [J].

Satpute, Sushma ;

Deora, Bharat Singh .

PROCEEDINGS OF THE INTERNATIONAL CONGRESS ON INFORMATION AND COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY, ICICT 2015, VOL 2, 2016, 439 :223-228

← 1 2 3 4 5 →