Effect of media-induced social distancing on disease transmission in a two patch setting

被引:188
作者
Sun, Chengjun [1 ]
Yang, Wei [2 ,3 ]
Arino, Julien [1 ]
Khan, Kamran [4 ]
机构
[1] Univ Manitoba, Dept Math, Winnipeg, MB R3T 2N2, Canada
[2] Fudan Univ, Sch Math Sci, Shanghai 200433, Peoples R China
[3] Austrian Acad Sci, Johann Radon Inst Computat & Appl Math, Linz, Austria
[4] St Michaels Hosp, Toronto, ON M5B 1W8, Canada
基金
加拿大自然科学与工程研究理事会;
关键词
Media coverage; Metapopulation; Global dynamics; Un form persistence; EPIDEMIC MODEL; HEALTH; SARS;
D O I
10.1016/j.mbs.2011.01.005
中图分类号
Q [生物科学];
学科分类号
07 ; 0710 ; 09 ;
摘要
We formulate an SIS epidemic model on two patches. In each patch media coverage about the cases present in the local population leads individuals to limit the number of contacts they have with others, inducing a reduction in the rate of transmission of the infection. A global qualitative analysis is carried out, showing that the typical threshold behavior holds, with solutions either tending to an equilibrium without disease, or the system being persistent and solutions converging to an endemic equilibrium. Numerical analysis is employed to gain insight in both the analytically tractable and intractable cases: these simulations indicate that media coverage can reduce the burden of he epidemic and shorten the duration of the disease outbreak. (C) 2011 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:87 / 95
页数:9
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