Three Categories Customer Churn Prediction Based on the Adjusted Real Adaboost

被引:4
作者
Liu, Miao [1 ,2 ]
Qiao, Xiu-quan [2 ]
Xu, Wang-li [1 ]
机构
[1] Renmin Univ China, Sch Stat, Beijing 100872, Peoples R China
[2] Beijing Univ Posts & Telecommun, State Key Lab Networking & Switching Technol, Beijing 100088, Peoples R China
基金
高等学校博士学科点专项科研基金; 中国国家自然科学基金;
关键词
Churn prediction; Customer heterogeneity; Real adaboost; Unbalanced data; BOOSTING ALGORITHMS; CLASSIFICATION; INDUSTRY; MODELS;
D O I
10.1080/03610918.2011.589732
中图分类号
O21 [概率论与数理统计]; C8 [统计学];
学科分类号
020208 ; 070103 ; 0714 ;
摘要
It is necessary for enterprises to establish a customer churn management system. In this article, we take the heterogeneity into consideration and divide the churn people into two classes according to the data characteristics. Moreover, we try to modify the bias of multi-class unbalanced data classification. Then we propose a new method based on Real Adaboost for the problem. The proposed method takes the within-group error into consideration and creates another view of reweighing the cases. Empirical study on our sample data shows that the new method performs better than the other method.
引用
收藏
页码:1548 / 1562
页数:15
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