Basic methods of change-point detection of financial fluctuations

被引:0
作者
Takayasu, Hideki [1 ,2 ,3 ]
机构
[1] Sony Comp Sci Labs, Shinagawa Ku, Tanakanawa Muse Bldg,3-14-13 Higashigotanda, Tokyo 1410022, Japan
[2] Meiji Univ, MIMS, Grad Sch Adv Math Sci, Nakano Ku, Tokyo 1648525, Japan
[3] Tokyo Inst Technol, Ctr TDB Adv Data Anal & Modeling, Midori Ku, Yokohama, Kanagawa 2268502, Japan
来源
2015 INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON NOISE AND FLUCTUATIONS (ICNF) | 2015年
关键词
change point; financial time series; random walk; PUCK model; Fisher Exact test; MARKET PRICE; DYNAMICS; MODELS;
D O I
暂无
中图分类号
TM [电工技术]; TN [电子技术、通信技术];
学科分类号
0808 ; 0809 ;
摘要
Financial market time series are usually approximated by random walks, however, we can easily find significant deviation from a simple random walk by analyzing high frequency market data. It is important to detect change points of potential statistical properties automatically from given time series. We apply Fisher's exact test for detection of trends in time series and show that the method works well for various types of temporal fluctuations. We show an example of application of this method for a foreign exchange market time series.
引用
收藏
页数:3
相关论文
共 50 条
  • [1] Asymptotically Optimal Methods of Early Change-Point Detection
    Brodsky, Boris
    Darkhovsky, Boris
    SEQUENTIAL ANALYSIS-DESIGN METHODS AND APPLICATIONS, 2013, 32 (02): : 158 - 181
  • [2] Change-point detection for shifts in control charts using fuzzy shift change-point algorithms
    Lu, Kang-Ping
    Chang, Shao-Tung
    Yang, Miin-Shen
    COMPUTERS & INDUSTRIAL ENGINEERING, 2016, 93 : 12 - 27
  • [3] Two non parametric methods for change-point detection in distribution
    Zhou, Yan
    Fu, Liya
    Zhang, Baoxue
    COMMUNICATIONS IN STATISTICS-THEORY AND METHODS, 2017, 46 (06) : 2801 - 2815
  • [4] Single change-point detection methods for small lifetime samples
    Narayanaswamy Balakrishnan
    Laurent Bordes
    Christian Paroissin
    Jean-Christophe Turlot
    Metrika, 2016, 79 : 531 - 551
  • [5] Sequential change-point detection methods for nonstationary time series
    Choi, Hyunyoung
    Ombao, Hernando
    Ray, Bonnie
    TECHNOMETRICS, 2008, 50 (01) : 40 - 52
  • [6] Statistical Methods for Change-Point Detection in Surface Temperature Records
    Pintar, A. L.
    Possolo, A.
    Zhang, N. F.
    TEMPERATURE: ITS MEASUREMENT AND CONTROL IN SCIENCE AND INDUSTRY, VOL 8, 2013, 1552 : 1048 - 1053
  • [7] Single change-point detection methods for small lifetime samples
    Balakrishnan, Narayanaswamy
    Bordes, Laurent
    Paroissin, Christian
    Turlot, Jean-Christophe
    METRIKA, 2016, 79 (05) : 531 - 551
  • [8] Change-Point Detection for Shifts in Control Charts Using EM Change-Point Algorithms
    Chang, Shao-Tung
    Lu, Kang-Ping
    QUALITY AND RELIABILITY ENGINEERING INTERNATIONAL, 2016, 32 (03) : 889 - 900
  • [9] Supervised learning for change-point detection
    Li, Fang
    Runger, George C.
    Tuv, Eugene
    INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF PRODUCTION RESEARCH, 2006, 44 (14) : 2853 - 2868
  • [10] Long signal change-point detection
    Biau, Gerard
    Bleakley, Kevin
    Mason, David M.
    ELECTRONIC JOURNAL OF STATISTICS, 2016, 10 (02): : 2097 - 2123