Prediction of Adenocarcinoma in Esophagectomy Specimens Based Upon Analysis of Preresection Biopsies of Barrett Esophagus With At Least High-Grade Dysplasia: A Comparison of 2 Systems

Distinguishing Barrett esophagus with high-grade dysplasia (BE-HGD) from intramucosal and submucosal adenocarcinomas on biopsies is challenging, yet important, in the choice of therapy. The current study evaluates preresection biopsies from patients who underwent esophagectomy for at least BE-HGD, to compare the recently published histologic categories by the University of Michigan (UM) and Cleveland Clinic (CC), correlate prcresection and final resection diagnosis, and identify histologic features in biopsies that might be predictive of adenocarcinoma on esophagectomy. A total of 112 cases with a consensus biopsy diagnosis (agreement by >= 4 of 7 gastrointestinal pathologists) were statistically analyzed to identify histologic features that predicted adenocarcinoma on resection. Applying the UM criteria to the biopsy series showed excellent agreement with the CC system (kappa = 0.86) and significant correlation between preoperative and esophagectomy diagnoses (P < 0.001). The likelihood of finding carcinoma on resection was significantly higher with the category of HGD with marked glandular distortion cannot exclude intramucosal adenocarcinoma [CC; odd ratio (OR), 2.8; P = 0.046] or HGD suspicious for adenocarcinoma (UM; OR, 4.3; P = 0.008), compared to HGD alone. The presence of "never-ending" glands (OR, 3.7; P = 0.008), sheet-like growth (P < 0.001), angulated glands (OR, 8.5; P < 0.001), >= 3 dilated glands with intraluminal debris (OR, 2.6; P = 0.05), and > 1 focus of single-cell infiltration into the lamina propria (OR, 8.9; P < 0.001) increased the odds of finding carcinoma on resection. The latter 2 variables remained independent predictors of adenocarcinoma in multivariable analysis. In conclusion, the CC and UM systems show excellent agreement and define histologic categories that can improve prediction of adenocarcinoma on resection.