Complex Adaptive Analysis of Technology Foresight Systems

被引：0

作者：

Yang You-hong ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] China Jiliang Univ, Hangzhou 310018, Peoples R China

来源：

MANAGEMENT IN COMPLEXITY SCIENCE PERSPECTIVE - THEORY, METHODOLOGY AND PRACTICE: PROCEEDINGS OF THE FIRST INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON COMPLEXITY SCIENCE MANAGEMENT (ICCSM 2010) | 2010年

关键词：

Technology foresight; complex adaptive systems; features;

D O I：

暂无

中图分类号：

F [经济];

学科分类号：

02 ;

摘要：

The technology foresight system features levels, integrity, diversity, openness, self-organizing, self-emerging and dynamic evolution. Based on the in-depth research for the complexity and the adaptability of technology foresight system, this paper analyzes the four characteristics of the technology foresight system, namely, aggregation, nonlinearity, flow, diversity and the three mechanisms: identification, the internal model, and component. This paper then concludes that technology foresight system is a complex adaptive system consisting of the adaptation Agents, and proposes the flow chart based on the CAS technology foresight.

引用

页码：14 / 19

页数：6