Cell Differentiation Trajectory in Liver Cirrhosis Predicts Hepatocellular Carcinoma Prognosis and Reveals Potential Biomarkers for Progression of Liver Cirrhosis to Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Most hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients occur on a background of liver cirrhosis, the molecular mechanisms of liver cirrhosis and its progression to HCC remain to be fully elucidated. Single cell differentiation trajectory analysis has been used in cell classification and tumor molecular typing, which correlated with disease progression and patient prognosis. Here we use cell differentiation trajectory analysis to investigate the relevance of liver cirrhosis and HCC. Single-cell RNA sequencing (scRNA-seq) data of liver cirrhosis and bulk RNA-seq and clinical data of HCC were downloaded from Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO) and The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) for analysis. HCC samples were divided into three subtypes, based on differentiation-related genes (DRGs) of liver cirrhosis, each with a different expression profile and overall survival (OS). A two- DRGs (CD34 and RAMP3) based prognostic risk scoring (RS) signature was established which could differentiate OS between high-risk and low-risk groups. And expression levels of CD34 and RAMP3 were predominantly high in endothelial cells. By integrating the RS and clinicopathological features, a nomogram was constructed and can accurately predicted the 1-year, 3-years, and 5-years OS. In conclusion, cell differentiation trajectory of liver cirrhosis can predict the prognosis of HCC, and provides new perspectives on the mechanisms of progression of liver cirrhosis to HCC.