Optimal crude oil procurement under fluctuating price in an oil refinery

被引:22
作者
Chen, Ruoran [1 ]
Deng, Tianhu [1 ]
Huang, Simin [1 ]
Qin, Ruwen [2 ]
机构
[1] Tsinghua Univ, Dept Ind Engn, Beijing 100084, Peoples R China
[2] Missouri Univ Sci & Technol, Dept Engn Management & Syst Engn, Rolla, MO 65409 USA
基金
美国国家科学基金会;
关键词
Uncertainty modelling; Risk management; Refinery operation; Procurement; Fluctuating price; SUPPLY CHAIN; RISK-MANAGEMENT; REGRESSION SPLINES; POOLING PROBLEM; FINANCIAL RISK; UNCERTAINTY; OPTIMIZATION; COMPANY; OPERATIONS; VALUATION;
D O I
10.1016/j.ejor.2015.03.002
中图分类号
C93 [管理学];
学科分类号
12 ; 1201 ; 1202 ; 120202 ;
摘要
In this paper, we study the optimal procurement and operation of an oil refinery. The crude oil prices follow geometric Brownian motion processes with correlation. We build a multiperiod inventory problem where each period involves an operation problem such as separation or blending. The decisions are the amount of crude oils to purchase and the amount of oil products to produce. We employ approximate dynamic programming methods to solve this multiperiod multiproduct optimization problem. Numerical results reveal that this complex problem can be approximately solved with little loss of optimality. Further, we find that the approximate solution significantly outperforms a set of myopic policies that are currently used. (C) 2015 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:438 / 445
页数:8
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