Deviations from risk-neutral equilibrium bids in auctions can be related to inconsistent expectations with correct best replies or correct expectations but deviant best replies (e.g. because of risk aversion, regret, quantal-response mistakes). To distinguish between these two explanations, we use a novel experimental procedure and study expectations together with best replies in symmetric and asymmetric auctions. We extensively test the internal validity of this setup. We find that deviations from equilibrium bids do not seem to be because of to wrong expectations but because of deviations from a risk-neutral best reply.
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Univ Francisco Marroquin, Ctr Vernon Smith Econ Expt, Guatemala City 01010, GuatemalaUniv Francisco Marroquin, Ctr Vernon Smith Econ Expt, Guatemala City 01010, Guatemala
Aycinena, Diego
Baltaduonis, Rimvydas
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Gettysburg Coll, Dept Econ, Gettysburg, PA 17325 USAUniv Francisco Marroquin, Ctr Vernon Smith Econ Expt, Guatemala City 01010, Guatemala
Baltaduonis, Rimvydas
Rentschler, Lucas
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Univ Francisco Marroquin, Ctr Vernon Smith Econ Expt, Guatemala City 01010, GuatemalaUniv Francisco Marroquin, Ctr Vernon Smith Econ Expt, Guatemala City 01010, Guatemala
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Univ Int Business & Econ, Sch Int Trade & Econ, Beijing 100029, Peoples R China
Hebei Acad Governance, Shijiazhuang 050031, Peoples R ChinaUniv Int Business & Econ, Sch Int Trade & Econ, Beijing 100029, Peoples R China
Han, Xiaohu
Liu, Shulin
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Univ Int Business & Econ, Sch Int Trade & Econ, Beijing 100029, Peoples R ChinaUniv Int Business & Econ, Sch Int Trade & Econ, Beijing 100029, Peoples R China
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Yokohama Natl Univ, Fac Business Adm, Hodogaya Ku, 79-4 Tokiwadai, Yokohama, Kanagawa 2408501, JapanYokohama Natl Univ, Fac Business Adm, Hodogaya Ku, 79-4 Tokiwadai, Yokohama, Kanagawa 2408501, Japan
Wang, Chao
Guo, Peijun
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Yokohama Natl Univ, Fac Business Adm, Hodogaya Ku, 79-4 Tokiwadai, Yokohama, Kanagawa 2408501, JapanYokohama Natl Univ, Fac Business Adm, Hodogaya Ku, 79-4 Tokiwadai, Yokohama, Kanagawa 2408501, Japan
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Fed Reserve Syst, Board Governors, 20th & C St NW, Washington, DC 20551 USAFed Reserve Syst, Board Governors, 20th & C St NW, Washington, DC 20551 USA
Skillman, Justin S.
Vernarelli, Michael J.
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Rochester Inst Technol, Dept Econ, Rochester, NY 14623 USAFed Reserve Syst, Board Governors, 20th & C St NW, Washington, DC 20551 USA