Foresight: Exploring the structure of the future

被引:17
作者
McMaster, M
机构
关键词
D O I
10.1016/0024-6301(96)00002-7
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
The past is a dangerous predictor of the future. Fortunately, there is a structure to the present which contains the building blocks of the future. The future casts a shadow on the present when we see it as possibility rather than as an extension in lime. The world can be viewed as a system of non-linear cause and effect, referred to as 'emergent', which sees relationships as the source of foresight. This emergent perspective suggests that foresight is a matter of interpretation, that there are tools of competence and that our ability to explore it is an organizational matter.
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页码:149 / 155
页数:7
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