APPLYING RISK-BASED DESIGN TO ARCTIC SHIPS

被引:0
作者
Bergstrom, Martin [1 ]
Erikstad, Stein Ove [1 ]
Ehlers, Soren [1 ]
机构
[1] NTNU, Trondheim, Norway
来源
PROCEEDINGS OF THE ASME 34TH INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON OCEAN, OFFSHORE AND ARCTIC ENGINEERING, 2015, VOL 8 | 2015年
关键词
Arctic ships; arctic maritime transport systems; transport reliability; risk-based design; Monte Carlo method;
D O I
暂无
中图分类号
U6 [水路运输]; P75 [海洋工程];
学科分类号
0814 ; 081505 ; 0824 ; 082401 ;
摘要
One of the challenges related to the design of arctic cargo ships is that their transport capacity is dependent on a number of arctic specific design parameters (e.g., ice conditions and the availability of icebreaker support) in which there typically is a significant level of uncertainty and stochasticity. This paper addresses that challenge by presenting a design method that deals with the parameter uncertainty by integrating method of risk assessment in to the design process, i.e., by utilising the principles of Risk-Based Design (RBD). In order to obtain a holistic approach, the-design method treats a ship as an arctic sea transport system that might include multiple ships, icebreakers, and port-based facilities such as cargo storages. Using the method it is possible to design an arctic sea transport system that provides a desired level of operational reliability. This provides the means to minimise costs and financial losses due to over- or undercapacity, and thereby to improve the resource-efficiency of the system as a whole.
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页数:10
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