How Do College Students Respond to Public Information about Earnings?

被引:88
作者
Wiswall, Matthew [1 ]
Zafar, Basit [2 ]
机构
[1] Arizona State Univ, Tempe, AZ 85287 USA
[2] Fed Reserve Bank New York, New York, NY USA
关键词
EXPECTATIONS; EDUCATION; RETURNS; OVERCONFIDENCE; DECISIONS; REVISIONS; OUTCOMES; BELIEFS; ABILITY; CHOICES;
D O I
10.1086/681542
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
Expectations are important determinants of decisions made under uncertainty, and if individuals' expectations are biased, they can make suboptimal choices. This paper uses a unique "information" experiment in which we provide college students true information about the population distribution of earnings. We find that college students are substantially misinformed about population earnings and revise their earnings beliefs in a sensible way in response to the information. The specificity and informativeness of the signal matters for updating. There is, however, substantial heterogeneity in students' updating heuristics. We also find that students revise their intended major in response to the information.
引用
收藏
页码:117 / 169
页数:53
相关论文
共 50 条
[1]   THE DEMAND FOR AND RETURN TO EDUCATION WHEN EDUCATION OUTCOMES ARE UNCERTAIN [J].
ALTONJI, JG .
JOURNAL OF LABOR ECONOMICS, 1993, 11 (01) :48-83
[2]  
[Anonymous], 2005, HDB EC ED
[3]   Ability sorting and the returns to college major [J].
Arcidiacono, P .
JOURNAL OF ECONOMETRICS, 2004, 121 (1-2) :343-375
[4]   Modeling college major choices using elicited measures of expectations and counterfactuals [J].
Arcidiacono, Peter ;
Hotz, V. Joseph ;
Kang, Songman .
JOURNAL OF ECONOMETRICS, 2012, 166 (01) :3-16
[5]   Eliciting beliefs: Proper scoring rules, incentives, stakes and hedging [J].
Armantier, Olivier ;
Treich, Nicolas .
EUROPEAN ECONOMIC REVIEW, 2013, 62 :17-40
[6]   Education choices and returns to schooling: Mothers' and youths' subjective expectations and their role by gender [J].
Attanasio, Orazio P. ;
Kaufmann, Katja M. .
JOURNAL OF DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS, 2014, 109 :203-216
[7]   Expectations and Perceptions in Developing Countries: Their Measurement and Their Use [J].
Attanasio, Orazio P. .
AMERICAN ECONOMIC REVIEW, 2009, 99 (02) :87-92
[8]   Female Leadership Raises Aspirations and Educational Attainment for Girls: A Policy Experiment in India [J].
Beaman, Lori ;
Duflo, Esther ;
Pande, Rohini ;
Topalova, Petia .
SCIENCE, 2012, 335 (6068) :582-586
[9]   CHOOSING THE FIELD OF STUDY IN POSTSECONDARY EDUCATION: DO EXPECTED EARNINGS MATTER? [J].
Beffy, Magali ;
Fougere, Denis ;
Maurel, Arnaud .
REVIEW OF ECONOMICS AND STATISTICS, 2012, 94 (01) :334-347
[10]   The Role of Application Assistance and Information in College Decisions: Results from the H&R Block Fafsa Experiment [J].
Bettinger, Eric P. ;
Long, Bridget Terry ;
Oreopoulos, Philip ;
Sanbonmatsu, Lisa .
QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS, 2012, 127 (03) :1205-1242